Sport Picks

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Heerenveen W vs Hera United W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Sportpark Skoatterwald
Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Sub
Kroezen S. In: Maatman E.
Out: Kroezen S.
61'
Sub
Kerkhof E. In: Boukakar R.
Out: Kerkhof E.
67'
Sub
Vis L. In: Daalman E.
Out: Vis L.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 game between Heerenveen W and Hera United W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heerenveen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Heerenveen W
30%
Draws
34%
Hera United W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Heerenveen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Hera United W haven't matched Heerenveen W's recent run of results.
  • Heerenveen W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Heerenveen W Clean Sheet 17%
Hera United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heerenveen W Hera United W
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 8 7
Draws 2 5
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Hera United W vs Heerenveen W
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Heerenveen W vs Hera United W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heerenveen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Maatman E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Hera United W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heerenveen W 36 / 100
Hera United W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heerenveen W Hera United W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heerenveen W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Hera United W let in goals in 92% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hera United W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heerenveen W VS Hera United W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV W22173256:1554
2Ajax W22155255:1850
3Feyenoord W22145345:1747
4Twente W22144455:1946
5Utrecht W22114741:3737
6PEC Zwolle W221111035:3234
7Heerenveen W22821238:5126
8AZ Alkmaar W22661036:4624
9Den Haag W22641224:4522
10Hera United W22551224:4220
11SBV Excelsior W22221818:518
12NAC Breda W22211917:717