Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heerenveen W vs NAC Breda W Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Sportpark Skoatterwald, Heerenveen
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Altena A.
Assist: Kroezen S.
45'
Verhoef L.
49' Event
Vermeer B.
Assist: Nassette A.

AI Match Summary

Heerenveen W in this Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heerenveen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Heerenveen W
15%
Draws
0%
NAC Breda W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heerenveen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Heerenveen W lately — more wins on the board than NAC Breda W.
  • Heerenveen W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Heerenveen W Clean Sheet 15%
NAC Breda W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heerenveen W NAC Breda W
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 10 5
Draws 2 1
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.81 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.35 3.52
Expected Goals (xG) 3.17 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Heerenveen W vs NAC Breda W
5:0
Dec 7, 2025 Eredivisie Women
NAC Breda W vs Heerenveen W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heerenveen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Maatman E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Altena A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.44
Avg xA / game 1.58

NAC Breda W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heerenveen W 84 / 100
NAC Breda W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heerenveen W NAC Breda W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heerenveen W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heerenveen W scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

NAC Breda W let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Away concern: NAC Breda W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Heerenveen W VS NAC Breda W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
2.38 Goals Conceded 4.83
75% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 83%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Heerenveen W

(Home)
27 Sept
Heerenveen W
2 : 0
Utrecht W
20 Sept
Den Haag W
2 : 2
Heerenveen W
13 Sept
Heerenveen W
3 : 1
Ajax W
06 Sept
Twente W
5 : 1
Heerenveen W
23 Aug
De Graafschap W
1 : 0
Heerenveen W
Page 1 of 6

NAC Breda W

(Away)
01 Aug
PEC Zwolle W
16 : 1
NAC Breda W
22 May
Feyenoord W
3 : 0
NAC Breda W
08 May
NAC Breda W
0 : 3
Twente W
03 May
Den Haag W
4 : 2
NAC Breda W
26 Apr
NAC Breda W
1 : 3
Hera United W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV W 22 17 3 2 56:15 54
2 Ajax W 22 15 5 2 55:18 50
3 Feyenoord W 22 14 5 3 45:17 47
4 Twente W 22 14 4 4 55:19 46
5 Utrecht W 22 11 4 7 41:37 37
6 PEC Zwolle W 22 11 1 10 35:32 34
7 Heerenveen W 22 8 2 12 38:51 26
8 AZ Alkmaar W 22 6 6 10 36:46 24
9 Den Haag W 22 6 4 12 24:45 22
10 Hera United W 22 5 5 12 24:42 20
11 SBV Excelsior W 22 2 2 18 18:51 8
12 NAC Breda W 22 2 1 19 17:71 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)