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Heesseler vs SV Bavenstedt

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niedersachsen 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niedersachsen 2008/2009 game between Heesseler and SV Bavenstedt finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SV Bavenstedt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Heesseler
15%
Draws
34%
SV Bavenstedt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heesseler

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Heesseler come out ahead of SV Bavenstedt on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Heesseler Clean Sheet 10%
SV Bavenstedt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heesseler SV Bavenstedt
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 2.2 1.3
Goals Conceded 3.27 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.20 2.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2009 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Heesseler vs SV Bavenstedt
0:4
Aug 30, 2008 Oberliga Niedersachsen
SV Bavenstedt vs Heesseler
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heesseler 29 / 100
SV Bavenstedt 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heesseler SV Bavenstedt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heesseler Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heesseler's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

SV Bavenstedt let in goals in 94% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

SV Bavenstedt lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heesseler VS SV Bavenstedt
2.4 Goals Scored 0.75
4.4 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Heesseler

(Home)
30 Jan
Hannoverscher SC
6 : 2
Heesseler
14 Jul
Hannover II
4 : 1
Heesseler
11 Jul
Heesseler
2 : 8
Egestorf-Langreder
06 Jul
Heesseler
3 : 2
Hannoverscher SC
04 Jul
Heesseler
4 : 2
TSV Havelse
Page 1 of 6

SV Bavenstedt

(Away)
29 May
Eintracht Nordhorn
2 : 2
SV Bavenstedt
24 May
SV Bavenstedt
0 : 5
BSV Rehden
22 May
SV Bavenstedt
0 : 1
VfB Oldenburg
16 May
SV Bavenstedt
1 : 2
Langenhagen
13 May
SV Bavenstedt
2 : 1
Eintracht Nordhorn
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goslarer 34 27 2 5 91:35 83
2 Osterholz-Scharmbeck 34 22 4 8 84:39 70
3 Braunschweig II 34 20 9 5 78:37 69
4 Luneburger Hansa 34 20 5 9 83:48 65
5 Heeslingen 34 19 7 8 91:57 64
6 Ottersberg 34 17 8 9 71:50 59
7 Drochtersen / Assel 34 17 6 11 61:49 57
8 Gifhorn 34 16 7 11 69:52 55
9 Eintracht Northeim 34 14 8 12 59:59 50
10 BSV Olper 2000 34 11 11 12 51:52 44
11 FT Braunschweig 34 11 10 13 51:56 43
12 TUS Guldenstern Stade 34 11 6 17 42:50 39
13 Blau-Weiss Bornreihe 34 10 6 18 54:82 36
14 Celle 34 10 4 20 68:89 34
15 SC Weende Gottingen 34 8 3 23 49:95 27
16 Rotenburger 34 8 3 23 43:102 27
17 Vorsfelde 34 6 5 23 37:80 23
18 VfL Maschen 34 5 4 25 38:88 19
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2008/2009 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfB Oldenburg 34 24 6 4 90:28 78
2 Eintracht Nordhorn 34 24 2 8 94:53 74
3 TSV Havelse 34 19 9 6 69:41 66
4 Meppen 34 19 8 7 95:51 65
5 SV Bavenstedt 34 18 7 9 73:49 61
6 VfL Oldenburg 34 17 6 11 71:48 57
7 VfL Germania Leer 34 16 7 11 75:62 55
8 Bad Rothenfelde 34 14 6 14 68:72 48
9 VfL Osnabruck II 34 13 7 14 53:57 46
10 SPVGG Preussen Hameln 07 34 13 5 16 59:65 44
11 Langenhagen 34 11 8 15 59:67 41
12 BSV Rehden 34 11 5 18 69:67 38
13 Hildesheim 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Arminia Hannover 34 10 5 19 57:81 35
15 Heesseler 34 10 3 21 65:117 33
16 TUS Pewsum 34 9 3 22 42:81 30
17 Lingen 34 9 3 22 36:88 30
18 Wilhelmshaven 2 34 7 7 20 36:75 28
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2008/2009 (Play Offs)