Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Jonava

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Sinkevicius D.
80' Event
Jonaitis L.
90' Event
Rosero A.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between Hegelmann Litauen 2 and Jonava finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hegelmann Litauen 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
15%
Draws
34%
Jonava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hegelmann Litauen 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Jonava have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Hegelmann Litauen 2 are scoring more at 1.
  • Hegelmann Litauen 2 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Jonava Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hegelmann Litauen 2 Jonava
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Jonava
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Jonava
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinkevicius D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jonaitis L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Jonava Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 34 / 100
Jonava 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Jonava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jonava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Away concern: Jonava has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Hegelmann Litauen 2 VS Jonava
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Home)
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
04 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
5 : 1
Siauliai 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0
Hegelmann Litauen 2
21 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 2
Ekranas
Page 1 of 6

Jonava

(Away)
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2
Jonava
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1
Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 24 21 1 2 63:13 64
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 24 11 7 6 34:23 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
11 Garliava 24 7 4 13 29:27 25
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 24 7 1 16 23:38 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)