Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Jonava

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Sinkevicius D.
80' Event
Jonaitis L.
90' Event
Rosero A.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between Hegelmann Litauen 2 and Jonava finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hegelmann Litauen 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
15%
Draws
57%
Jonava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jonava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Hegelmann Litauen 2 haven't matched Jonava's recent run of results.
  • Jonava are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Jonava Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hegelmann Litauen 2 Jonava
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Jonava
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Jonava
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinkevicius D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jonaitis L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Jonava Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 11 / 100
Jonava 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Jonava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jonava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Away concern: Jonava has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Hegelmann Litauen 2 VS Jonava
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Home)
07 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 1
Garliava
31 Jul
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 4
FK Minija
25 Jul
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
21 Jul
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 2
Zalgiris 2
02 Jul
Zalgiris 2
3 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Page 1 of 6

Jonava

(Away)
07 Aug
Jonava
1 : 2
Ekranas
31 Jul
BE1 NFA
0 : 2
Jonava
25 Jul
Jonava
1 : 0
Garliava
18 Jul
FK Minija
2 : 1
Jonava
27 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 : 1
Jonava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 19 16 1 2 48:11 49
2 FK Babrungas 19 15 3 1 32:6 48
3 Neptunas 19 12 2 5 27:20 38
4 Tauras Taurage 19 11 2 6 35:22 35
5 Dainava Alytus 18 10 4 4 32:18 34
6 BE1 NFA 18 10 2 6 29:23 32
7 BFA Vilnius 19 10 1 8 29:29 31
8 Zalgiris 2 19 8 4 7 27:27 28
9 FK Atmosfera 18 7 4 7 29:22 25
10 Jonava 19 6 5 8 23:24 23
11 Garliava 18 6 4 8 23:19 22
12 Hegelmann Litauen 2 19 5 1 13 20:43 16
13 Transinvest 2 19 4 3 12 18:46 15
14 Ekranas 19 3 2 14 19:37 11
15 Siauliai 2 19 2 5 12 17:41 11
16 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 19 3 1 15 13:33 10
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)