Sport Picks
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Nevezis Kedainiai
Lithuania
I Lyga 2025 Raudondvario stadionas, Raudondvario 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Mockus E. In: Veldman M.
Out: Mockus E.
53'
53'
Isaac B.
58'
58'
Radinovic S.
AI Match Summary
The I Lyga 2025 game between Hegelmann Litauen 2 and Nevezis Kedainiai finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hegelmann Litauen 2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Hegelmann Litauen 2
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Hegelmann Litauen 2 have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Nevezis Kedainiai are scoring more at 4.
- Hegelmann Litauen 2 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Nevezis Kedainiai Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | Nevezis Kedainiai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 20 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 4.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Nevezis Kedainiai
1:0
Mar 7, 2025 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
1:1
Nov 8, 2024 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
4:0
Jun 21, 2024 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Nevezis Kedainiai
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Radinovic S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Nevezis Kedainiai Compare
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hegelmann Litauen 2 74 / 100
Nevezis Kedainiai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Nevezis Kedainiai
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HEG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nevezis Kedainiai let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Hegelmann Litauen 2 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Away concern: Nevezis Kedainiai has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hegelmann Litauen 2 VS Nevezis Kedainiai
0.75 Goals Scored 4
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Hegelmann Litauen 2
(Home) 25 Jul
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
21 Jul
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 2 Zalgiris 2
02 Jul
Zalgiris 2
3 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
27 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 : 1 Jonava
20 Jun
BFA Vilnius
0 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 2 Zalgiris 2
27 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 : 1 Jonava
12 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
22 May
Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 : 3 Neptunas
11 May
Hegelmann Litauen 2
1 : 2 Transinvest 2
Page 1 of 3
Nevezis Kedainiai
(Away) 09 Nov
Nevezis Kedainiai
4 : 3 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
31 Oct
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0 Nevezis Kedainiai
24 Oct
Nevezis Kedainiai
0 : 2 Ekranas
18 Oct
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1 Nevezis Kedainiai
04 Oct
Jonava
2 : 2 Nevezis Kedainiai
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0 Nevezis Kedainiai
18 Oct
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1 Nevezis Kedainiai
04 Oct
Jonava
2 : 2 Nevezis Kedainiai
19 Sept
Neptunas
1 : 0 Nevezis Kedainiai
16 Aug
Zalgiris 2
1 : 2 Nevezis Kedainiai
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Transinvest | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 87:22 | 79 |
| 2 | Neptunas | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 68:27 | 67 |
| 3 | Tauras Taurage | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 56:22 | 62 |
| 4 | FK Babrungas | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 64:43 | 58 |
| 5 | BFA Vilnius | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 47:36 | 55 |
| 6 | FK Atmosfera | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:34 | 48 |
| 7 | Zalgiris 2 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 50:48 | 42 |
| 8 | Jonava | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 26:25 | 42 |
| 9 | FK Minija | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 27:46 | 36 |
| 10 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35:51 | 31 |
| 11 | BE1 NFA | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 35:51 | 30 |
| 12 | Ekranas | 30 | 9 | 2 | 19 | 37:58 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 43:57 | 27 |
| 14 | Siauliai 2 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 20 | 41:71 | 26 |
| 15 | Nevezis Kedainiai | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 32:58 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Panevezys 2 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 30:81 | 21 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2025 (Relegation)
