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Heidelberg Utd vs Altona Magic

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Olympic Park Stadium, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
McGowan J.
45' Event
Hatzopoulos P.
53' Event
Dau C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria game between Heidelberg Utd and Altona Magic finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Heidelberg Utd
20%
Draws
36%
Altona Magic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heidelberg Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Heidelberg Utd come out ahead of Altona Magic on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Heidelberg Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Altona Magic Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heidelberg Utd Altona Magic
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 NPL Victoria
Altona Magic vs Heidelberg Utd
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 NPL Victoria
Heidelberg Utd vs Altona Magic
2:2
Jul 5, 2025 NPL Victoria
Altona Magic vs Heidelberg Utd
0:2
Mar 28, 2025 NPL Victoria
Heidelberg Utd vs Altona Magic
3:1
May 19, 2024 NPL Victoria
Heidelberg Utd vs Altona Magic
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heidelberg Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer McGowan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dau C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Altona Magic Compare

Top Goalscorer Hatzopoulos P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arou G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heidelberg Utd 41 / 100
Altona Magic 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heidelberg Utd Altona Magic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heidelberg Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heidelberg Utd found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Altona Magic has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Heidelberg Utd remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Heidelberg Utd VS Altona Magic
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Heidelberg Utd

(Home)
06 Sept
South Melbourne
2 : 1
Heidelberg Utd
29 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
2 : 0
Bentleigh Greens
23 Aug
South Melbourne
1 : 2
Heidelberg Utd
15 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
4 : 5
Hume City
12 Aug
North Sunshine Eagles
1 : 0
Heidelberg Utd
Page 1 of 7

Altona Magic

(Away)
29 Aug
Preston Lions
1 : 1
Altona Magic
22 Aug
Altona Magic
0 : 2
Avondale FC
14 Aug
Dandenong City SC
2 : 0
Altona Magic
01 Aug
Altona Magic
1 : 1
George Cross
25 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
0 : 2
Altona Magic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 26 16 6 4 56:24 54
2 Hume City 26 15 4 7 51:36 49
3 Avondale FC 26 15 2 9 65:34 47
4 South Melbourne 26 13 2 11 39:36 41
5 Heidelberg Utd 26 11 7 8 42:34 40
6 Preston Lions 26 15 6 5 41:19 39
7 George Cross 26 9 11 6 35:34 38
8 St Albans 26 9 7 10 36:43 34
9 Dandenong City SC 26 10 7 9 35:31 33
10 Melbourne City U21 26 8 6 12 42:42 30
11 Altona Magic 26 7 7 12 28:42 28
12 Bentleigh Greens 26 6 6 14 27:51 24
13 Green Gully 26 4 6 16 23:52 18
14 Dandenong Thunder 26 4 3 19 23:65 15
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)