Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heidelberg Utd vs St Albans

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Olympic Park Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Humbert M.
69' Event
Gulevski J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Heidelberg Utd
30%
Draws
34%
St Albans
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Heidelberg Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Heidelberg Utd have won more games recently than St Albans.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Heidelberg Utd taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Heidelberg Utd Clean Sheet 16%
St Albans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heidelberg Utd St Albans
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 NPL Victoria
Heidelberg Utd vs St Albans
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Heidelberg Utd
2:1
May 30, 2025 NPL Victoria
Heidelberg Utd vs St Albans
2:2
Feb 23, 2025 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Heidelberg Utd
1:2
Jul 7, 2024 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Heidelberg Utd
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heidelberg Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Humbert M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

St Albans Compare

Top Goalscorer Gulevski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heidelberg Utd 36 / 100
St Albans 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heidelberg Utd St Albans

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heidelberg Utd's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

St Albans has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Heidelberg Utd has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Heidelberg Utd VS St Albans
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oakleigh Cannons20135243:1844
2Hume City20124440:2440
3Avondale FC20111853:2734
4Preston Lions19122530:1632
5Heidelberg Utd2095633:2632
6South Melbourne20101931:3231
7Melbourne City U211986537:2230
8George Cross2069527:2827
9St Albans2065923:3623
10Dandenong City SC2175927:2922
11Altona Magic20641024:3622
12Bentleigh Greens21541220:4519
13Dandenong Thunder21431423:4615
14Green Gully21341417:4313