Sport Picks
Heidelberg Utd vs St Albans
Australia
NPL Victoria Olympic Park Stadium, Melbourne 
Match Events
34'
34'
Humbert M.
69'
69'
Gulevski J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Albans
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Heidelberg Utd have won more games recently than St Albans.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on St Albans taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Heidelberg Utd Clean Sheet 20%
St Albans Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Heidelberg Utd | St Albans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 3, 2026 NPL Victoria
Heidelberg Utd vs St Albans
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Heidelberg Utd
2:1
May 30, 2025 NPL Victoria
Heidelberg Utd vs St Albans
2:2
Feb 23, 2025 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Heidelberg Utd
1:2
Jul 7, 2024 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Heidelberg Utd
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Heidelberg Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Humbert M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
St Albans Compare
Top Goalscorer Gulevski J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Heidelberg Utd 20 / 100
St Albans 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Heidelberg Utd St Albans
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St Albans Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Heidelberg Utd's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
St Albans has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Heidelberg Utd has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Heidelberg Utd VS St Albans
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Heidelberg Utd
(Home) 06 Sept
South Melbourne
2 : 1 Heidelberg Utd
29 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
2 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
23 Aug
South Melbourne
1 : 2 Heidelberg Utd
15 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
4 : 5 Hume City
12 Aug
North Sunshine Eagles
1 : 0 Heidelberg Utd
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
2 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
15 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
4 : 5 Hume City
24 Jul
Heidelberg Utd
0 : 0 George Cross
03 Jul
Heidelberg Utd
1 : 1 St Albans
26 Jun
Heidelberg Utd
0 : 1 Oakleigh Cannons
Page 1 of 3
St Albans
(Away) 29 Aug
St Albans
6 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2 St Albans
14 Aug
St Albans
1 : 1 Bentleigh Greens
02 Aug
South Melbourne
2 : 0 St Albans
24 Jul
St Albans
3 : 2 Hume City
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2 St Albans
02 Aug
South Melbourne
2 : 0 St Albans
18 Jul
Avondale FC
1 : 1 St Albans
03 Jul
Heidelberg Utd
1 : 1 St Albans
05 Jun
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 2 St Albans
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 56:24 | 54 |
| 2 | Hume City | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 51:36 | 49 |
| 3 | Avondale FC | 26 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 65:34 | 47 |
| 4 | South Melbourne | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 5 | Heidelberg Utd | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 42:34 | 40 |
| 6 | Preston Lions | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 41:19 | 39 |
| 7 | George Cross | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 35:34 | 38 |
| 8 | St Albans | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36:43 | 34 |
| 9 | Dandenong City SC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:31 | 33 |
| 10 | Melbourne City U21 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:42 | 30 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:42 | 28 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:51 | 24 |
| 13 | Green Gully | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:52 | 18 |
| 14 | Dandenong Thunder | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 23:65 | 15 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
