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Heidenheim vs Parma

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Siersleben T.
42' Event
Scienza L.
87' Event
Pellegrino M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Heidenheim and Parma finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heidenheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Heidenheim
6%
Draws
4%
Parma
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Heidenheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Parma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Heidenheim a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Heidenheim Clean Sheet 20%
Parma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heidenheim Parma
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 3.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Heidenheim vs Parma
2:1
Jul 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Heidenheim vs Parma
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heidenheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Siersleben T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scienza L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

Parma Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrino M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heidenheim 85 / 100
Parma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heidenheim Parma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Heidenheim scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Parma let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Heidenheim has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Heidenheim VS Parma
3.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Heidenheim

(Home)
25 Jul
Heidenheim
1 : 3
Hamburger
22 Jul
Bologna
1 : 1
Heidenheim
15 Jul
Nordlingen
0 : 9
Heidenheim
11 Jul
TSV Langenau
0 : 12
Heidenheim
10 Jul
Heidenheim
0 : 1
Lugano
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Parma

(Away)
25 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 1
Parma
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 1
Parma
24 May
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
17 May
Como
1 : 0
Parma
10 May
Parma
2 : 3
AS Roma
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