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Heidenheim vs Parma

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Siersleben T.
42' Event
Scienza L.
87' Event
Pellegrino M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Heidenheim and Parma finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heidenheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Heidenheim
15%
Draws
8%
Parma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heidenheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Heidenheim carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Heidenheim a 77% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Heidenheim Clean Sheet 15%
Parma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heidenheim Parma
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.39 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Heidenheim vs Parma
2:1
Jul 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Heidenheim vs Parma
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heidenheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Siersleben T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scienza L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Parma Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrino M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heidenheim 84 / 100
Parma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heidenheim Parma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heidenheim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Heidenheim scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Parma let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Heidenheim has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Heidenheim VS Parma
2.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Heidenheim

(Home)
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
06 Sept
Greuther Furth
0 : 1
Heidenheim
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3
Dresden
23 Aug
Jeddeloh
5 : 2
Heidenheim
18 Aug
Heidenheim
2 : 4
Bayern Munich
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Parma

(Away)
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1
Parma
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2
Cremonese
29 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0
Parma
22 Aug
Parma
0 : 1
Cagliari
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