Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heiligenstadt vs Krieschow

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heiligenstadt in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heiligenstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Heiligenstadt
15%
Draws
36%
Krieschow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heiligenstadt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Heiligenstadt haven't matched Krieschow's recent run of results.
  • Heiligenstadt are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Heiligenstadt Clean Sheet 11%
Krieschow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heiligenstadt Krieschow
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.68 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Heiligenstadt vs Krieschow
4:3
Aug 30, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Krieschow vs Heiligenstadt
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heiligenstadt 83 / 100
Krieschow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heiligenstadt Krieschow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heiligenstadt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Krieschow conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Heiligenstadt found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Krieschow has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Heiligenstadt VS Krieschow
1.6 Goals Scored 1.38
2.2 Goals Conceded 1.75
80% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Heiligenstadt

(Home)
30 May
Heiligenstadt
4 : 3
Einheit Wernigerode
17 May
Halle
2 : 2
Heiligenstadt
10 May
Glauchau
1 : 0
Heiligenstadt
03 May
Heiligenstadt
2 : 3
Bautzen
26 Apr
Stendal
2 : 0
Heiligenstadt
Page 1 of 6

Krieschow

(Away)
19 Sept
Plauen
1 : 2
Krieschow
12 Sept
Krieschow
1 : 5
Halle
29 Aug
Halberstadt
5 : 0
Krieschow
23 Aug
Krieschow
0 : 9
Mainz
16 Aug
Krieschow
0 : 1
Meuselwitz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rsv Eintracht 30 20 8 2 61:29 68
2 Freital 30 19 2 9 57:28 59
3 Plauen 30 18 5 7 52:28 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51:37 51
5 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 49:44 48
6 Halle 30 13 7 10 68:45 46
7 Bautzen 30 12 9 9 57:46 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 48:42 43
9 Glauchau 30 11 7 12 46:52 40
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 40:41 39
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 41:58 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 9 6 15 39:60 33
13 Stendal 30 8 6 16 41:59 30
14 Grimma 30 8 4 18 47:73 28
15 Bischofswerdaer 30 6 7 17 36:61 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 33:63 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost (Main)