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Stadium Background

Heimstetten vs TSV Grunwald - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Celik K.
58' Event
Riglewski L.
63' Event
Cazorla A.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 game between Heimstetten and TSV Grunwald finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heimstetten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Heimstetten
20%
Draws
22%
TSV Grunwald
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heimstetten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Heimstetten come out ahead of TSV Grunwald on wins alone.
  • Heimstetten are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Heimstetten here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Heimstetten Clean Sheet 15%
TSV Grunwald Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heimstetten TSV Grunwald
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.8 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs TSV Grunwald
5:1
Oct 11, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
TSV Grunwald vs Heimstetten
0:0
Jun 18, 2022 Club Friendly
TSV Grunwald vs Heimstetten
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heimstetten Compare

Top Goalscorer Riglewski L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Celik K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

TSV Grunwald Compare

Top Goalscorer Cazorla A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heimstetten 84 / 100
TSV Grunwald 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heimstetten TSV Grunwald

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heimstetten Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heimstetten found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

TSV Grunwald's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Heimstetten remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Heimstetten VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Heimstetten

(Home)
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
26 Sept
Kirchanschoring
0 : 4
Heimstetten
18 Sept
Heimstetten
2 : 2
Gundelfingen
11 Sept
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
5 : 1
Heimstetten
04 Sept
Heimstetten
4 : 2
Deisenhofen
Page 1 of 6

TSV Grunwald

(Away)
24 May
TSV Grunwald
0 : 2
Geretsried
21 May
Geretsried
4 : 0
TSV Grunwald
17 May
TSV Grunwald
5 : 1
Ismaning
09 May
Heimstetten
5 : 1
TSV Grunwald
02 May
TSV Grunwald
0 : 6
Landsberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Memmingen 32 17 12 3 49:21 63
2 Munich 1860 II 32 18 8 6 64:30 62
3 SV Erlbach 32 16 10 6 33:21 58
4 Pipinsried 32 18 4 10 63:39 58
5 Deisenhofen 32 17 5 10 56:45 56
6 Kottern-St. Mang 32 16 6 10 57:50 54
7 Kirchanschoring 32 15 7 10 57:46 52
8 Landsberg 32 14 2 16 64:41 44
9 Schalding 32 12 8 12 41:47 44
10 Heimstetten 32 12 5 15 78:70 41
11 Nordlingen 32 12 5 15 53:56 41
12 Turkspor Augsburg 32 10 7 15 37:59 37
13 Ismaning 32 9 8 15 35:51 35
14 TSV Grunwald 32 9 6 17 54:78 33
15 Sonthofen 32 9 5 18 39:60 32
16 Unterhaching II 32 8 7 17 32:61 31
17 Rain/Lech 32 5 5 22 39:76 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)