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Heist vs Antwerp - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Belgian Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Antwerp have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Heist have conceded 1.21 and scored 2.68. Past meetings favor Antwerp slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2019, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.88 - 1.69) back Heist to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Heist
20%
Draws
10%
Antwerp
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Heist lately — more wins on the board than Antwerp.
  • Win probability leans Heist's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Heist have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Antwerp, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Antwerp here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Heist Clean Sheet 13%
Antwerp Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heist Antwerp
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.68 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2019 Club Friendly
Heist vs Antwerp
0:3
Jan 30, 2016 Challenger Pro League
Antwerp vs Heist
2:0
Sep 20, 2015 Challenger Pro League
Heist vs Antwerp
1:3
Mar 14, 2015 Challenger Pro League
Heist vs Antwerp
1:3
Oct 18, 2014 Challenger Pro League
Antwerp vs Heist
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heist 84 / 100
Antwerp 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heist Antwerp

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heist Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Heist scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Antwerp let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Heist has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Heist VS Antwerp
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Heist

(Home)
03 Oct
Heist
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
30 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
3 : 1
Heist
26 Sept
Heist
3 : 2
Kortrijk
19 Sept
K. Lyra-Lierse
3 : 2
Heist
12 Sept
Heist
1 : 1
Thes Sport
Page 1 of 6

Antwerp

(Away)
20 Sept
Antwerp
0 : 2
Royale Union SG
13 Sept
Club Brugge
3 : 1
Antwerp
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Diksmuide Oostende 0
Lommel SK 2
Westerlo -
TBD -
SK Roeselare 1
Patro Eisden 2
Crossing Schaerbeek 3
Beerschot VA 5
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Heist 3
Kortrijk 2
TBD -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
TBD -
Knokke 2
RFC Seraing 5
Club Brugge -
TBD -
Houtvenne 0
Sporting Lokeren 5
KV Mechelen -
TBD -
Merelbeke 0
Eupen 1
Union Rochefortoise 3
Lierse SK 2
TBD -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
TBD -
OC Charleroi 1
Habay La Neuve 2
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
Nijlen 3
Boom 1
Oostkamp 0
Virton 3
TBD -
Genk -
Londerzeel 0
Renaissance Mons 4
TBD -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
TBD -
RFC Liege 4
Wellen 1
St. Liege -
TBD -
Hoogstraten 0
Dender 6
Leuven -
TBD -
Diegem 0
Francs Borains 1
Mandel United 1
Hasselt 3
TBD -
Cercle Brugge -
1/16-finals
St. Truiden -
Lommel SK -
Westerlo -
Patro Eisden -
Beerschot VA -
Anderlecht -
Heist -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
RFC Seraing -
Club Brugge -
Sporting Lokeren -
KV Mechelen -
Eupen -
Union Rochefortoise -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
Habay La Neuve -
Royale Union SG -
Nijlen -
Virton -
Genk -
Renaissance Mons -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
RFC Liege -
St. Liege -
Dender -
Leuven -
Francs Borains -
Hasselt -
Cercle Brugge -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -