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Heist vs Thes Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Fall F.
48' Event
Jannes M.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV game between Heist and Thes Sport finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Heist
30%
Draws
37%
Thes Sport
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thes Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Heist come out ahead of Thes Sport on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Heist Clean Sheet 16%
Thes Sport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heist Thes Sport
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.72 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Heist vs Thes Sport
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Thes Sport vs Heist
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Heist vs Thes Sport
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 National Division 1
Thes Sport vs Heist
1:2
Dec 16, 2023 National Division 1
Heist vs Thes Sport
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heist Compare

Top Goalscorer Jannes M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Thes Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heist 31 / 100
Thes Sport 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heist Thes Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heist found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Thes Sport let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Heist stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heist VS Thes Sport
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Heist

(Home)
03 Oct
Heist
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
30 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
3 : 1
Heist
26 Sept
Heist
3 : 2
Kortrijk
19 Sept
K. Lyra-Lierse
3 : 2
Heist
12 Sept
Heist
1 : 1
Thes Sport
Page 1 of 6

Thes Sport

(Away)
03 Oct
Thes Sport
1 : 1
Zelzate
30 Sept
SK Roeselare
0 : 1
Thes Sport
19 Sept
Thes Sport
2 : 3
Leuven B
12 Sept
Heist
1 : 1
Thes Sport
05 Sept
Thes Sport
2 : 0
Knokke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 6 5 0 1 17:8 15
2 Leuven B 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
3 SK Roeselare 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
4 Merelbeke 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
5 Dessel 6 3 2 1 13:11 11
6 Mandel United 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
7 Knokke 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
8 Thes Sport 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
9 Tienen 6 2 2 2 12:8 8
10 Belisia Bilzen 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
11 Heist 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Hoogstraten 6 1 3 2 14:13 6
13 K. Lyra-Lierse 6 1 3 2 12:16 6
14 Cercle Brugge 2 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
15 Zelzate 6 0 3 3 5:12 3
16 KRC Harelbeke 6 0 1 5 4:19 1
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