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Helios vs Rakvere

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Helios advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Helios
15%
Draws
51%
Rakvere
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rakvere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Helios haven't matched Rakvere's recent run of results.
  • Rakvere are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Rakvere arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Helios, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 74%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Helios Clean Sheet 10%
Rakvere Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Helios Rakvere
Matches Played 14 31
Wins 3 8
Draws 0 2
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.29 1.39
Goals Conceded 5.64 2.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.09 2.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2021 Estonian Cup
Helios vs Rakvere
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helios 10 / 100
Rakvere 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Helios Rakvere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rakvere Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rakvere conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Helios's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Helios went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Helios VS Rakvere
0.8 Goals Scored 1
3.6 Goals Conceded 3.38
80% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 88%
60% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Helios

(Home)
26 Jul
Helios
0 : 9
Narva
03 Jul
Helios
:
JK 32. keskkool
01 Sept
Helios
0 : 3
Tartu JK Welco
23 Jul
Helios
3 : 1
Rakvere
28 Jul
FCI Tallinn
5 : 1
Helios
Page 1 of 3

Rakvere

(Away)
19 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
1 : 0
Rakvere
25 Aug
Helm
1 : 4
Rakvere
27 Jul
Saku Sporting
0 : 2
Rakvere
23 Jul
Helios
3 : 1
Rakvere
10 Jul
Rakvere
3 : 1
Puhkus Mehhikos
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Viimsi Lovid 0
Flora U19 3
Rumori Calcio II 1
FCP Parnu 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora -
Zenit Tallinn 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 2
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond III -
Valga Warrior -
FCT Titans -
Kristiine 5
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kose 0
Maksatransport 2
Raplamaa 15
Wolfram 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Kadakas 3
TransferWise 4
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tabasalu II -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 5
Kusti 4
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Elva 3
Helm 0
Tallinna Wolves 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 5
Viimsi JK 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
TBD -
ReUnited -
Loo JK 4
FC Alliance U21 2
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FCI Tallinn 8
FC Hell Hunt 0
TBD -
Parnu Sadam -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Karskem Karsklus -
Narva -
HF Beer -
FC Alliance 10
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
TBD -
Eston Villa -
Helios -
TBD -
Rakvere 3
Puhkus Mehhikos 1
Kohvile 7
Young FC 4
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuressaare -
Tartu Kalev -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu II 11
Aksi Wolves 1
Nomme Utd -
Jogeva -
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Imavere Forss 5
Tulevik 26
Lelle 0
Olympic Tallinn 2
Hiiumaa 1
Tulevik U21 -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
Ganvix Turi -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Kalju -
TBD -
Mulgi 3
JK 32. keskkool 1
EstHam United -
TBD -
Eston Villa II -
FC Ararat -
Vastseliina Tannem 4
Teleios 0
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
Parnu -
TBD -
Legion U21 5
Annelinna Ajax 2
Tabasalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
1/32-finals
Flora U19 12
FCP Parnu 0
TBD -
Flora -
Zenit Tallinn 1
Paide Linnameeskond III 4
Valga Warrior 1
Kristiine 4
Maksatransport 1
Raplamaa 3
TBD -
Levadia -
TransferWise 2
Tallinna Kalev 9
Tabasalu II 6
Jarva-Jaani 0
Rumori Calcio 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 7
Legion 21
Soccernet 0
Elva 13
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
Viimsi JK -
ReUnited -
Loo JK 2
FC Tallinn 3
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FCI Tallinn 8
Parnu Sadam 1
Flora Tallinn U21 24
Karskem Karsklus 0
Narva 5
FC Alliance 0
Maardu Aliens 2
Eston Villa 3
Helios 3
Rakvere 1
Kohvile 1
Tartu JK Welco 2
Saku Sporting 0
Tammeka Tartu 9
JK Poseidon 0
Kuressaare 9
Tartu Kalev 10
Laanemaa Haapsalu II 0
Nomme Utd -
Imavere Forss -
Tulevik -
Olympic Tallinn -
Tulevik U21 4
Ganvix Turi 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Johvi Phoenix 0
Kalju 32
Mulgi 0
EstHam United 0
FC Ararat 6
Vastseliina Tannem -
Pohja-Tallinna -
Parnu 2
Legion U21 0
Tabasalu 11
Arukula Vigri 1
1/16-finals
Flora U19 0
Flora 14
Paide Linnameeskond III 5
Kristiine 0
Raplamaa 0
Levadia 5
Tallinna Kalev 3
Tabasalu II 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 2
Legion 8
Elva 2
Viimsi JK 0
FC Tallinn 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
FCI Tallinn 2
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Narva 3
Eston Villa 0
Helios 0
Tartu JK Welco 3
Tammeka Tartu 3
Kuressaare 1
Tartu Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 2
Tulevik 10
Tulevik U21 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Kalju 9
FC Ararat 2
Vastseliina Tannem 3
Parnu 0
Tabasalu 1
1/8-finals
Flora -
Paide Linnameeskond III -
Levadia 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Legion -
Elva -
Paide Linnameeskond 14
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Narva 3
Tartu JK Welco 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Tartu Kalev 0
Tulevik 1
Kalju 3
Vastseliina Tannem -
Tabasalu -
Quarter-finals
Flora 2
Levadia 0
Legion 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Narva 2
Tammeka Tartu 0
Kalju 7
Tabasalu 0
Semi-finals
Flora 0
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Narva 0
Kalju 1
Final
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Kalju 0