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Hellerup vs Thisted FC

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hellerup host Thisted FC in the 2nd Division. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Hellerup have averaged 1.28 scored and 2.41 conceded recently, against Thisted FC's 1.28 scored and 1.59 conceded. Past meetings favor Thisted FC slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.44, favoring Thisted FC. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hellerup
20%
Draws
40%
Thisted FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Thisted FC have won more games recently than Hellerup.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Thisted FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hellerup Clean Sheet 16%
Thisted FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hellerup Thisted FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.28 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 2nd Division
Hellerup vs Thisted FC
0:2
Apr 19, 2026 2nd Division
Thisted FC vs Hellerup
4:0
Oct 19, 2025 2nd Division
Thisted FC vs Hellerup
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 2nd Division
Hellerup vs Thisted FC
1:1
May 31, 2025 2nd Division
Hellerup vs Thisted FC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hellerup 36 / 100
Thisted FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hellerup Thisted FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thisted FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hellerup found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Thisted FC conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Thisted FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hellerup VS Thisted FC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hellerup

(Home)
25 Sept
Hellerup
1 : 1
Roskilde
18 Sept
Nykobing
3 : 0
Hellerup
15 Sept
Hellerup
0 : 5
Esbjerg
11 Sept
Fremad Amager
2 : 1
Hellerup
05 Sept
Hellerup
2 : 1
Brabrand
Page 1 of 6

Thisted FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Thisted FC
3 : 1
Brabrand
13 Sept
Naestved IF
3 : 1
Thisted FC
06 Sept
Thisted FC
0 : 3
Nykobing
03 Sept
Thisted FC
0 : 2
Sonderjyske
28 Aug
Fremad Amager
2 : 2
Thisted FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 9 6 3 0 24:10 21
2 VSK Aarhus 9 5 3 1 14:5 18
3 Roskilde 9 3 6 0 16:10 15
4 Fremad Amager 9 3 5 1 13:12 14
5 Middelfart 8 3 4 1 15:8 13
6 Naestved IF 8 3 4 1 11:9 13
7 Boldklubben 1893 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
8 Skive 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
9 Hellerup 9 2 2 5 8:16 8
10 Brabrand 9 1 3 5 10:18 6
11 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 9 1 2 6 10:21 5
12 Thisted FC 9 1 1 7 8:19 4
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division (Relegation Group)