Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014

Manzanares

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hellin Deportivo play Manzanares in the Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hellin Deportivo averaged 0.03 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Manzanares averaged 0.81 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. In past meetings, Hellin Deportivo won 2, Manzanares won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 22, 2015 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Hellin Deportivo and 0.80 for Manzanares. This points to a Manzanares double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Hellin Deportivo

17%

Draws

51%

Manzanares

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Manzanares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Hellin Deportivo picked up more points recently compared to Manzanares.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.80 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 93%

Over 2.5 Goals 33%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%

Hellin Deportivo Clean Sheet 26%

Manzanares Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 84%

Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hellin Deportivo	Manzanares
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	0	2
Draws	1	9
Losses	29	21
Goals Scored	0.03	0.81
Goals Conceded	2.1	2.09

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Hellin Deportivo vs Manzanares

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Nov 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Manzanares vs Hellin Deportivo

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

4:0

Feb 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Hellin Deportivo vs Manzanares

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Oct 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Manzanares vs Hellin Deportivo

Possession: 43% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

0:3

Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Manzanares vs Hellin Deportivo

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 0 - 0

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hellin Deportivo 34 / 100

Manzanares 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hellin Deportivo Manzanares

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Manzanares or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +22.1%

3.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hellin Deportivo attacking → ← attacking Manzanares

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hellin Deportivo scored in 3% of their last 30 games.

Manzanares let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Hellin Deportivo went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Manzanares lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

1 Points in last 5 15

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Puertollano	38	31	5	2	88:18	98
2	Socuellamos	38	25	8	5	72:26	83
3	Villarrobledo	38	22	10	6	80:32	76
4	UD Almansa	38	20	12	6	53:36	72
5	CF Talavera	38	21	9	8	72:34	72
6	Villarrubia	38	16	10	12	48:56	58
7	CD Pedroneras	38	14	12	12	42:50	54
8	La Gineta	38	12	12	14	51:55	48
9	Atletico Ibanes	38	11	14	13	44:50	47
10	Quintanar del Rey	38	12	11	15	44:56	47
11	Manzanares	38	11	12	15	41:46	45
12	Albacete B	38	10	13	15	45:58	43
13	Manchego Ciudad Real	38	10	13	15	43:54	43
14	Hellin Deportivo	38	10	13	15	35:40	43
15	Alcazar	38	11	8	19	46:56	41
16	Mora CF	38	12	4	22	37:63	40
17	Madridejos	38	8	14	16	30:41	38
18	Illescas	38	8	12	18	39:59	36
19	Azuqueca	38	9	9	20	36:53	36
20	EF Zona 5 Albacete	38	2	9	27	34:97	15