Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Vaan O.
17'
17'
Arro K. J.
33'
33'
Sjoblom M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Helm advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tallinna Kalev U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Helm haven't matched Tallinna Kalev U21's recent run of results.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on Helm taking it.
- Tallinna Kalev U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Tallinna Kalev U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Helm Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Helm | Tallinna Kalev U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 4.07 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.27 | 2.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2023 Estonian Cup
Helm vs Tallinna Kalev U21
3:7
Jul 28, 2020 Estonian Cup
Helm vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Helm Compare
Top Goalscorer Vaan O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Puvi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2
Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Sjoblom M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Helm 83 / 100
Tallinna Kalev U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Helm Tallinna Kalev U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Helm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Helm found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (15 games).
Tallinna Kalev U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Helm remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Helm VS Tallinna Kalev U21
16 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Helm
(Home) 23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2 Helm
18 Jun
Helm
30 : 0 Deliirium
20 Aug
Flora
14 : 0 Helm
01 Aug
Kohvile
0 : 4 Helm
28 Aug
Helm
1 : 5 Elva
Page 1 of 3
18 Jun
Helm
30 : 0 Deliirium
28 Aug
Helm
1 : 5 Elva
30 Aug
Helm
3 : 7 Tallinna Kalev U21
29 Jul
Helm
2 : 0 Parnu
25 Aug
Helm
1 : 4 Rakvere
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Tallinna Kalev U21
(Away) 11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1 Tabasalu
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0 Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 1 Tulevik
25 Aug
Tartu Kalev
1 : 1 Tallinna Kalev U21
21 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
3 : 3 Legion
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0 Tallinna Kalev U21
25 Aug
Tartu Kalev
1 : 1 Tallinna Kalev U21
16 Aug
Tabasalu
1 : 1 Tallinna Kalev U21
01 Aug
Narva U21
5 : 0 Tallinna Kalev U21
20 Jul
Tammeka Tartu U21
5 : 4 Tallinna Kalev U21
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora U19 -
FCI Tallinn 5
Helios 1
Kuressaare 18
Anija 0
Pohja-Sakala 5
Aksi Wolves 1
TBD -
Lelle -
Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora -
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Teleios 1
TBD -
Soccernet -
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Lootos Polva -
Viimsi Lovid -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Vastseliina Tannem -
TBD -
Narva 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 0
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
Parnu Sadam 8
Puhkus Mehhikos 1
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond IV 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 2
Raplamaa 3
Eston Villa II 0
TBD -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
Jogeva -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Imavere Forss -
TBD -
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev 6
Nomme Utd 3
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
Rummu Dunamo -
Kohvile 9
JK 32. keskkool 0
TBD -
Tallinn Piraaja -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
Legion 9
HF Beer 0
Saku Sporting 6
Kadakas 0
TBD -
Rakvere -
Paide Linnameeskond 24
Eyjafjallajokull 0
TBD -
Tulevik U21 -
Tallinna Pocarr 3
Igiliikur 0
TBD -
ReUnited -
Olympic Tallinn 1
JK Poseidon 2
TBD -
Kose -
Tulevik -
TBD -
TBD -
Maardu Aliens -
Legion II -
TBD -
FC Tallinn 2
Elva 1
Vandra Vaprus -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 10
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Levadia 6
Kohtla-Nomme 0
JK Retro -
TBD -
Loo JK 9
Metsis 1
Eston Villa 2
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 0
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 -
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Jogeva Wolves 2
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Viimsi JK 4
Kristiine 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 9
FC Sssolutions 0
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
1/32-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2
Flora U19 1
FCI Tallinn 2
Kuressaare 3
Pohja-Sakala 6
Lelle 1
Parnu 1
Flora 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Soccernet 1
Rumori Calcio II 3
FC Lootos Polva 0
Viimsi Lovid 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Zenit Tallinn 0
Tammeka Tartu 13
Helm 2
Tallinna Kalev U21 1
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Narva 5
Rumori Calcio 2
Parnu Sadam 3
Tallinna Wolves 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Raplamaa 13
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Jogeva 1
FC Hell Hunt 2
Imavere Forss 5
Valga Warrior 1
TransferWise 0
Tallinna Kalev 11
Kalju 8
Rummu Dunamo 0
Kohvile 1
Tallinn Piraaja 3
Maksatransport 0
Legion 6
Saku Sporting 3
Rakvere 2
Paide Linnameeskond 9
Tulevik U21 0
Tallinna Pocarr 1
ReUnited 0
JK Poseidon 0
Kose 2
Tulevik -
Maardu Aliens -
Legion II 0
FC Tallinn 4
Vandra Vaprus 5
Flora Tallinn U21 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Levadia 2
JK Retro 5
Loo JK 0
Eston Villa 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 0
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Jarva-Jaani 0
Viimsi JK 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Hiiumaa 3
Keila JK 4
1/16-finals
Tartu JK Welco 1
Kuressaare 6
Pohja-Sakala 0
Flora 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 2
Rumori Calcio II 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Helm 1
Narva 2
Parnu Sadam -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve -
Raplamaa 1
FC Hell Hunt 2
Imavere Forss 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Kalju 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Legion 11
Saku Sporting 0
Paide Linnameeskond 13
Tallinna Pocarr 0
Kose 0
Tulevik 8
FC Tallinn 2
Vandra Vaprus 0
Levadia 5
JK Retro 0
Eston Villa 2
Pohja-Tallinna 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Keila JK 3
1/8-finals
Kuressaare 0
Flora 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Tammeka Tartu 15
Narva 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
FC Hell Hunt 0
Tallinna Kalev 4
Kalju 3
Legion 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Tulevik 3
FC Tallinn 0
Levadia 3
Eston Villa 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Quarter-finals
Flora 2
Tammeka Tartu 1
Narva 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Kalju 1
Tulevik 2
Levadia 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Semi-finals
Flora 2
Narva 1
Tulevik 0
Levadia 2
Final
Flora 0
Levadia 1
