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Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 GS Staalwerken Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Bultman S.
46'
Sub
Meerstadt J. In: Kwint K.
Out: Meerstadt J.
46'
Sub
Simons J. In: Grotenhuis T.
Out: Simons J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Helmond Sport
30%
Draws
34%
De Graafschap
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Helmond Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Helmond Sport haven't matched De Graafschap's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Helmond Sport taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 16%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Helmond Sport De Graafschap
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport
3:1
May 9, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap
1:4
Sep 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport
2:3
Feb 16, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helmond Sport 36 / 100
De Graafschap 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Helmond Sport De Graafschap

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

De Graafschap's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: De Graafschap registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Helmond Sport scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Helmond Sport VS De Graafschap
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Den Haag38292790:3789
2Cambuur38239675:4878
3Willem II382081059:4268
4De Graafschap381891174:5863
5Almere City381841678:6358
6Waalwijk3816101271:5958
7Jong PSV381751666:6456
8Roda3814131159:5455
9Den Bosch381491565:6951
10Dordrecht3812111548:5647
11Eindhoven FC381451951:6947
12Jong Utrecht3812101658:6246
13Venlo381361950:5845
14FC Emmen381291758:7245
15Vitesse3815111264:5544
16TOP Oss3811111654:6444
17Jong AZ Alkmaar381242261:7640
18Helmond Sport381091942:6239
19Maastricht389111841:7338
20Jong Ajax38982150:7335