Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Helsingborg vs Norrby

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Olympia, Helsingborg
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Helsingborg host Norrby in the Superettan. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Norrby have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Helsingborg have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.61. Head-to-head, Helsingborg have won 2 to Norrby's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.44, favoring Helsingborg. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Helsingborg
20%
Draws
29%
Norrby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Helsingborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Helsingborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Helsingborg's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Helsingborg Clean Sheet 16%
Norrby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Helsingborg Norrby
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 12
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Superettan
Norrby vs Helsingborg
3:3
Sep 29, 2021 Superettan
Norrby vs Helsingborg
2:2
May 19, 2021 Superettan
Helsingborg vs Norrby
0:2
Aug 2, 2018 Superettan
Helsingborg vs Norrby
2:0
May 24, 2018 Superettan
Norrby vs Helsingborg
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helsingborg 57 / 100
Norrby 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Helsingborg Norrby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Helsingborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Helsingborg scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Norrby let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Helsingborg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Helsingborg VS Norrby
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Helsingborg

(Home)
09 Sept
Landskrona
1 : 2
Helsingborg
05 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 2
Sandviken
01 Sept
Helsingborg
1 : 1
Orebro
27 Aug
Football Primetime
3 : 6
Helsingborg
23 Aug
Oddevold
3 : 1
Helsingborg
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Norrby

(Away)
09 Sept
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Norrby
05 Sept
Norrby
1 : 3
Landskrona
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
26 Aug
Dalstorps
0 : 2
Norrby
23 Aug
Norrby
1 : 1
Sandviken
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 23 16 3 4 45:15 51
2 Falkenberg 23 12 5 6 44:33 41
3 Ostersund 23 10 9 4 32:24 39
4 Varberg 23 11 5 7 39:30 38
5 Oddevold 23 9 8 6 37:32 35
6 Nordic United 23 9 8 6 36:35 35
7 Landskrona 23 9 7 7 31:25 34
8 Sandviken 23 9 6 8 38:30 33
9 Oster 23 10 3 10 34:34 33
10 Helsingborg 23 8 5 10 36:44 29
11 Varnamo 23 7 5 11 30:41 26
12 Ljungskile 23 6 7 10 29:33 25
13 Norrby 23 4 11 8 27:33 23
14 Orebro 23 5 8 10 24:34 23
15 Brage 23 5 7 11 36:44 22
16 Sundsvall 23 5 1 17 16:47 16
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)