Sport Picks
Hemel Hempstead vs Eastbourne Borough
England
National League South 2025/2026 
Match Events
32'
32'
Campbell R.
55'
55'
De Castro Q.
62'
62'
Ajayi K.
AI Match Summary
Hemel Hempstead in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hemel Hempstead.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
35%
49%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Eastbourne Borough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Eastbourne Borough average 1.71 goals a game right now, well clear of Hemel Hempstead's 1.14.
- Model gives Eastbourne Borough a 49% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 15%
Eastbourne Borough Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hemel Hempstead | Eastbourne Borough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Eastbourne Borough
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 National League South
Eastbourne Borough vs Hemel Hempstead
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 National League South
Eastbourne Borough vs Hemel Hempstead
3:3
Nov 2, 2024 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Eastbourne Borough
2:5
Mar 9, 2024 National League South
Eastbourne Borough vs Hemel Hempstead
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hemel Hempstead Compare
Top Goalscorer Campbell R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ajayi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Eastbourne Borough Compare
Top Goalscorer De Castro Q.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hemel Hempstead 11 / 100
Eastbourne Borough 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hemel Hempstead Eastbourne Borough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Eastbourne Borough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Eastbourne Borough let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Hemel Hempstead scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Hemel Hempstead remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hemel Hempstead VS Eastbourne Borough
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hemel Hempstead
(Home) 22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1 Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Farnham
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Farnham
29 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 3 Weston-super-Mare
18 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
0 : 1 Maidenhead
Page 1 of 3
Eastbourne Borough
(Away) 19 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
3 : 0 Windsor & Eton
15 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
2 : 1 Chatham
12 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
3 : 0 Cheshunt
05 Sept
Whitehawk
2 : 4 Eastbourne Borough
31 Aug
Lewes
1 : 0 Eastbourne Borough
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Whitehawk
2 : 4 Eastbourne Borough
31 Aug
Lewes
1 : 0 Eastbourne Borough
22 Aug
Cray Wanderers
2 : 1 Eastbourne Borough
08 Aug
Aveley
2 : 2 Eastbourne Borough
28 Jul
Tonbridge
4 : 2 Eastbourne Borough
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
