Sport Picks
Hemel Hempstead vs Weston-super-Mare
England
National League South Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead 
Match Events
17'
17'
Campbell R.
73'
73'
Britton L.
77'
77'
Ash B.
AI Match Summary
Weston-super-Mare in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Weston-super-Mare.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Hemel Hempstead haven't matched Weston-super-Mare's recent run of results.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on Weston-super-Mare taking it.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 23%
Weston-super-Mare Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hemel Hempstead | Weston-super-Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Weston-super-Mare
1:3
Apr 28, 2026 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Weston-super-Mare
1:2
Mar 31, 2026 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Hemel Hempstead
0:0
Nov 4, 2025 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Weston-super-Mare
3:0
Feb 1, 2025 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Hemel Hempstead
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hemel Hempstead Compare
Top Goalscorer Campbell R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Weston-super-Mare Compare
Top Goalscorer Ash B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Britton L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hemel Hempstead 29 / 100
Weston-super-Mare 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hemel Hempstead Weston-super-Mare
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Weston-super-Mare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hemel Hempstead scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Weston-super-Mare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Hemel Hempstead went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hemel Hempstead VS Weston-super-Mare
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hemel Hempstead
(Home) 26 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1 Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Farnham
29 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 3 Weston-super-Mare
18 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
0 : 1 Maidenhead
Page 1 of 3
Weston-super-Mare
(Away) 26 Sept
Farnham
3 : 2 Weston-super-Mare
22 Sept
Wimborne
2 : 1 Weston-super-Mare
19 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Wimborne
12 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 0 Dagenham & Red.
08 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 1 AFC Totton
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Farnham
3 : 2 Weston-super-Mare
22 Sept
Wimborne
2 : 1 Weston-super-Mare
05 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 0 Weston-super-Mare
29 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 3 Weston-super-Mare
18 Aug
Torquay
0 : 0 Weston-super-Mare
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 2 | Dagenham & Red. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Billericay | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Weston-super-Mare | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18:10 | 17 |
| 6 | Truro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Dover Ath. | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 8 | Dorking Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22:16 | 16 |
| 9 | Farnham | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 10 | Tonbridge | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:11 | 14 |
| 11 | Maidenhead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 13 | Torquay | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 14 | Folkestone | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Chelmsford | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 16 | Horsham FC | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 17 | Farnborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 11 |
| 18 | Chesham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 19 | Braintree | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 20 | AFC Totton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | 10 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:24 | 8 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10:24 | 4 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:26 | 2 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
