Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hemelingen vs Werder Bremen III - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hemelingen in this Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hemelingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Hemelingen
20%
Draws
19%
Werder Bremen III
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hemelingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Hemelingen have won more games recently than Werder Bremen III.
  • Hemelingen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • History favors Hemelingen here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Hemelingen Clean Sheet 15%
Werder Bremen III Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hemelingen Werder Bremen III
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 22 13
Draws 1 4
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 3.55 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Hemelingen vs Werder Bremen III
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Werder Bremen III vs Hemelingen
1:4
Mar 23, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Hemelingen vs Werder Bremen III
2:0
Oct 11, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Werder Bremen III vs Hemelingen
1:2
Dec 11, 2022 Oberliga Bremen
Werder Bremen III vs Hemelingen
2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hemelingen 84 / 100
Werder Bremen III 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hemelingen Werder Bremen III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hemelingen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hemelingen found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Werder Bremen III's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Hemelingen has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hemelingen VS Werder Bremen III
3.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hemelingen

(Home)
26 Sept
Aumund-Vegesack
1 : 1
Hemelingen
23 Sept
Oberneuland
0 : 6
Hemelingen
20 Sept
Hemelingen
4 : 0
Eiche Horn
13 Sept
Hemelingen
5 : 0
Schwachhausen
05 Sept
Woltmershausen
1 : 3
Hemelingen
Page 1 of 6

Werder Bremen III

(Away)
25 Sept
Werder Bremen III
1 : 1
Leher
20 Sept
Grohn
2 : 1
Werder Bremen III
12 Sept
Werder Bremen III
3 : 1
BTS Neustadt
06 Sept
Schwachhausen
1 : 0
Werder Bremen III
28 Aug
ESC Geestemunde
5 : 2
Werder Bremen III
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blumenthaler 30 24 3 3 95:35 75
2 Hemelingen 30 23 4 3 111:31 73
3 OSC Bremerhaven 30 20 4 6 86:40 64
4 Eiche Horn 30 20 2 8 69:37 62
5 Brinkumer 30 16 5 9 81:50 53
6 BTS Neustadt 30 16 2 12 86:73 50
7 Union 60 Bremen 30 15 3 12 72:65 48
8 Werder Bremen III 30 12 3 15 60:67 39
9 Oberneuland 30 10 6 14 65:58 36
10 ESC Geestemunde 30 10 5 15 56:81 35
11 Leher 30 10 4 16 52:62 34
12 Aumund-Vegesack 30 11 1 18 55:79 34
13 Vatan Bremen 30 9 2 19 49:91 29
14 Woltmershausen 30 6 5 19 43:90 23
15 Habenhauser 30 7 1 22 42:97 22
16 ATSV Sebaldsbruck 30 4 4 22 44:110 16
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026 (Play Offs)