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Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

China China

Super League Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Sub
Zheng Dalun In: Yang Yilin
Out: Zheng Dalun
46'
Sub
He Chao In: Haliq Ablahan
Out: He Chao
46'
Sub
Shen H. In: Li Long
Out: Shen H.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Henan Songshan Longmen and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Henan Songshan Longmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Henan Songshan Longmen
17%
Draws
13%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Henan Songshan Longmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng haven't matched Henan Songshan Longmen's recent run of results.
  • Henan Songshan Longmen are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Henan Songshan Longmen Clean Sheet 16%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Henan Songshan Longmen Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:0
Aug 8, 2025 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
4:1
Apr 5, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:3
Jul 13, 2024 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen
0:0
Apr 5, 2024 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Henan Songshan Longmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Nazario
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Henan Songshan Longmen 66 / 100
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Henan Songshan Longmen Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Henan Songshan Longmen found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Difficult form: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Henan Songshan Longmen VS Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Henan Songshan Longmen

(Home)
17 Jul
Henan Songshan Longmen
5 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
03 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
27 Jun
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 2
Shanghai Port
19 Jun
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 2
Henan Songshan Longmen
30 May
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 2
Zhejiang Professional
Page 1 of 6

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

(Away)
18 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
11 Jul
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3 : 0
Qingdao West Coast
04 Jul
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
27 Jun
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 3
Chengdu Rongcheng
19 Jun
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 3
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1978423:2129
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
5Qingdao West Coast19510423:2925
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren1863925:3021
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1885536:2919
12Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
13Shanghai Port1856728:2616
14Qingdao Hainiu19631030:3614
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1856724:2211
16Wuhan Three Towns1837826:3411
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)