Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hera United W vs AZ Alkmaar W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Sportpark Goed Genoeg, Amsterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
van Lunteren D.
Assist: Kroese F.
44' Event
van Lunteren D.
Assist: Kroese F.
46'
Sub
Thomas K. In: Bakker E.
Out: Thomas K.

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar W in this Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AZ Alkmaar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hera United W
33%
Draws
27%
AZ Alkmaar W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hera United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Hera United W haven't matched AZ Alkmaar W's recent run of results.
  • Hera United W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Hera United W Clean Sheet 10%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hera United W AZ Alkmaar W
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Hera United W vs AZ Alkmaar W
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Hera United W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hera United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaagman I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

AZ Alkmaar W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Lunteren D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hera United W 38 / 100
AZ Alkmaar W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hera United W AZ Alkmaar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Hera United W scored in 68% of their last 25 games.

Solid form: Hera United W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hera United W VS AZ Alkmaar W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hera United W

(Home)
22 May
Hera United W
1 : 2
Utrecht W
08 May
PEC Zwolle W
3 : 2
Hera United W
03 May
Hera United W
1 : 2
PSV W
26 Apr
NAC Breda W
1 : 3
Hera United W
05 Apr
Hera United W
2 : 1
Heerenveen W
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AZ Alkmaar W

(Away)
14 Jul
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 1
Twente W
22 May
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
SBV Excelsior W
08 May
Ajax W
3 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
03 May
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 5
Heerenveen W
26 Apr
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 1
Den Haag W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV W22173256:1554
2Ajax W22155255:1850
3Feyenoord W22145345:1747
4Twente W22144455:1946
5Utrecht W22114741:3737
6PEC Zwolle W221111035:3234
7Heerenveen W22821238:5126
8AZ Alkmaar W22661036:4624
9Den Haag W22641224:4522
10Hera United W22551224:4220
11SBV Excelsior W22221818:518
12NAC Breda W22211917:717
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2026/2027 (Qualification)