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Hera United W vs Heerenveen W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Sportpark Goed Genoeg
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hera United W play Heerenveen W in the Eredivisie Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hera United W averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.92 conceded. Heerenveen W averaged 1.61 goals scored and 2.54 conceded. In past meetings, Hera United W won 1, Heerenveen W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 5, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Hera United W and 1.88 for Heerenveen W. This points to a Hera United W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Hera United W
15%
Draws
39%
Heerenveen W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hera United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Hera United W picked up more points recently compared to Heerenveen W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hera United W Clean Sheet 10%
Heerenveen W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hera United W Heerenveen W
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.16 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.92 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Hera United W vs Heerenveen W
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Heerenveen W vs Hera United W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hera United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lagcher M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Heerenveen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Altena A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hera United W 43 / 100
Heerenveen W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hera United W Heerenveen W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hera United W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hera United W attacking → ← attacking Heerenveen W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hera United W scored in 68% of their last 25 games.

Heerenveen W let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hera United W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Heerenveen W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 26
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1PSV W22173256:1554
2Ajax W22155255:1850
3Feyenoord W22145345:1747
4Twente W22144455:1946
5Utrecht W22114741:3737
6PEC Zwolle W221111035:3234
7Heerenveen W22821238:5126
8AZ Alkmaar W22661036:4624
9Den Haag W22641224:4522
10Hera United W22551224:4220
11SBV Excelsior W22221818:518
12NAC Breda W22211917:717