Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heracles vs NAC Breda

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Asito Stadium, Almelo
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Sub
Greiml L. In: Odoi D.
Out: Greiml L.
56'
Holtby L.
60'
Sub
Benita M. In: Bozinovski R.
Out: Benita M.

AI Match Summary

NAC Breda in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored NAC Breda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Heracles
40%
Draws
29%
NAC Breda
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: NAC Breda at 1.13 per game, Heracles at 1.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Heracles Clean Sheet 14%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heracles NAC Breda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Eredivisie
Heracles vs NAC Breda
0:1
Oct 29, 2025 KNVB Beker
NAC Breda vs Heracles
1:4
Sep 20, 2025 Eredivisie
NAC Breda vs Heracles
2:1
Jan 31, 2025 Eredivisie
NAC Breda vs Heracles
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 Eredivisie
Heracles vs NAC Breda
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heracles 31 / 100
NAC Breda 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heracles NAC Breda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Heracles scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

NAC Breda has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Heracles stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heracles VS NAC Breda
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Heracles

(Home)
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5
Excelsior
17 Jul
Heracles
2 : 0
FC Emmen
08 Jul
Heracles
2 : 1
Groningen
17 May
Heracles
1 : 2
Groningen
10 May
Telstar
3 : 0
Heracles
Page 1 of 6

NAC Breda

(Away)
28 Jul
NAC Breda
3 : 2
OFI Crete
25 Jul
Sporting Lokeren
1 : 2
NAC Breda
18 Jul
NAC Breda
1 : 3
Excelsior
15 Jul
HSV Hoek
1 : 2
NAC Breda
08 Jul
NAC Breda
0 : 2
Eindhoven FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV342734101:4584
2Feyenoord34198770:4465
3Nijmegen341611777:5359
4Twente341513659:4058
5Ajax341414662:4156
6Utrecht341581155:4253
7AZ Alkmaar3414101058:5152
8Heerenveen341491157:5351
9Groningen341461449:4548
10Sparta Rotterdam341271540:6243
11Sittard341161749:6339
12G.A. Eagles348141254:5338
13Excelsior341081643:5638
14Telstar349101549:5537
15Zwolle349101544:7137
16FC Volendam34881835:5532
17NAC Breda346111735:5829
18Heracles34542535:8519
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)