Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heracles vs Vitesse

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Asito Stadium, Almelo
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Hilterman J.
11' Event
N'djoli J.
Assist: van Gilst T.
24'
Schikora M.

AI Match Summary

Heracles in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heracles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Heracles
20%
Draws
33%
Vitesse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitesse lately — more wins on the board than Heracles.
  • Win probability leans Heracles's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Heracles Clean Sheet 16%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heracles Vitesse
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs Vitesse
2:0
Feb 10, 2024 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Vitesse
3:2
Dec 10, 2023 Eredivisie
Vitesse vs Heracles
2:0
Mar 13, 2022 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Vitesse
0:0
Dec 12, 2021 Eredivisie
Vitesse vs Heracles
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer N'djoli J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Vitesse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heracles 75 / 100
Vitesse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heracles Vitesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heracles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heracles found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Vitesse has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Heracles stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heracles VS Vitesse
3 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Heracles

(Home)
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2
Heracles
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0
Vitesse
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2
Jong AZ Alkmaar
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
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Vitesse

(Away)
03 Oct
Vitesse
2 : 2
NAC Breda
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0
Vitesse
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong PSV
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 9 7 1 1 28:12 22
2 Almere City 9 6 1 2 19:7 19
3 Venlo 9 6 0 3 23:14 18
4 FC Emmen 9 5 1 3 19:18 16
5 Maastricht 9 5 1 3 13:19 16
6 Roda 9 4 3 2 9:7 15
7 Waalwijk 9 3 5 1 19:12 14
8 Vitesse 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
9 NAC Breda 9 4 2 3 19:19 14
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 9 4 0 5 20:17 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
14 Helmond Sport 9 2 3 4 15:16 9
15 TOP Oss 9 3 0 6 12:14 9
16 Den Bosch 9 2 2 5 13:18 8
17 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
18 Dordrecht 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
19 De Graafschap 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
20 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)