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Herbania vs Estrella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
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Match Events

11' Event
Hernandez S. A. F.

AI Match Summary

Herbania in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Herbania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Herbania
30%
Draws
41%
Estrella
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estrella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Estrella lately — more wins on the board than Herbania.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Herbania Clean Sheet 20%
Estrella Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herbania Estrella
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.16 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.59 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Herbania
2:1
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs Estrella
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herbania Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez S. A. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.8

Estrella Compare

Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herbania 32 / 100
Estrella 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herbania Estrella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herbania's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Estrella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Herbania stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herbania VS Estrella
1.38 Goals Scored 1.2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Herbania

(Home)
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Herbania
25 Apr
Herbania
1 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1
Telde
18 Apr
Tamaraceite
4 : 1
Herbania
Page 1 of 7

Estrella

(Away)
04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0
Estrella
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1
Las Palmas C
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2
Estrella
12 Sept
Estrella
3 : 1
Villaverde Norte
11 May
Estrella
2 : 1
Herbania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)