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Herbania vs San Bartolome - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Herrera D.
78' Event
Ramirez I.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Herbania
35%
Draws
45%
San Bartolome
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Bartolome

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Bartolome lately — more wins on the board than Herbania.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on San Bartolome taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Herbania Clean Sheet 18%
San Bartolome Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herbania San Bartolome
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 8
Draws 10 14
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.17 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs San Bartolome
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Herbania
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs San Bartolome
1:0
Nov 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Herbania
2:2
Apr 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Herbania
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herbania Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrera D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

San Bartolome Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herbania 10 / 100
San Bartolome 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herbania San Bartolome

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Bartolome Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herbania found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

San Bartolome's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Herbania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herbania VS San Bartolome
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Herbania

(Home)
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Herbania
25 Apr
Herbania
1 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1
Telde
18 Apr
Tamaraceite
4 : 1
Herbania
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San Bartolome

(Away)
03 Oct
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Bartolome
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2
Estrella
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1
San Bartolome
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)