Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense 2

Hercilio Luz

0 - 1

Blumenau

Our Tip

Match Events

90'

Brown

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Blumenau in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blumenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Hercilio Luz

17%

Draws

13%

Blumenau

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Hercilio Luz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Blumenau have won more games recently than Hercilio Luz.
Win probability leans Hercilio Luz's way, sitting at 70%.
Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Hercilio Luz here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%

Hercilio Luz Clean Sheet 68%

Blumenau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hercilio Luz	Blumenau
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	13	14
Draws	6	6
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	2	1.75
Goals Conceded	0.38	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Catarinense 2

Blumenau vs Hercilio Luz

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 4 - 2

0:2

May 13, 2026 Catarinense 2

Hercilio Luz vs Blumenau

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Oct 27, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina

Blumenau vs Hercilio Luz

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 4 - 3

0:4

Sep 16, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina

Hercilio Luz vs Blumenau

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hercilio Luz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercilio Luz 77 / 100

Blumenau 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hercilio Luz Blumenau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hercilio Luz has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hercilio Luz found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Blumenau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Hercilio Luz VS Blumenau

2 Goals Scored 1.75

0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	16	12	2	2	33:9	38
2	CA Metropolitano	16	10	2	4	31:18	32
3	Caravaggio	16	9	4	3	44:19	31
4	Blumenau	16	8	4	4	32:13	28
5	Tubarao	16	6	5	5	22:17	23
6	Fluminense-SC	16	5	3	8	14:21	18
7	Nacao	16	4	6	6	16:24	18
8	Gremio Juventus	16	5	2	9	16:21	17
9	Guarani de Palhoca	16	4	5	7	15:24	17
10	Jaragua-SC	16	0	1	15	6:63	1