Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Hercilio Luz in this Copa Santa Catarina 2018 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Hercilio Luz lately — more wins on the board than Fluminense-SC.
- Hercilio Luz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Hercilio Luz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Hercilio Luz, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Hercilio Luz here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hercilio Luz | Fluminense-SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 35 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fluminense-SC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 35 outings.
Solid form: Hercilio Luz remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Hercilio Luz's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hercilio Luz
(Home)Fluminense-SC
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 3 | Joinville | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 4 | Fluminense-SC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 5 | CA Metropolitano | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 6 | Blumenau | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:28 | 3 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Tubarao | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13:4 | 20 |
| 3 | Marcilio Dias | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Almirante Barroso | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 5 | Inter de Lages | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:13 | 7 |
| 6 | Operario Mafra | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:41 | 0 |
