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Hercules vs Aguila

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Benitez T. A.
71' Event
Granitto T.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Hercules and Aguila finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hercules
35%
Draws
32%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Hercules haven't matched Aguila's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hercules a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aguila have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hercules Clean Sheet 20%
Aguila Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hercules Aguila
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.2 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Primera Division
Hercules vs Aguila
0:1
Jan 25, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Hercules
3:1
Sep 30, 2025 Primera Division
Hercules vs Aguila
1:3
Aug 13, 2025 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Aguila vs Hercules
2:0
Jul 27, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs Hercules
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hercules Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Granitto T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercules 40 / 100
Aguila 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hercules Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hercules Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hercules went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Hercules scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Aguila's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aguila
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hercules

(Home)
01 May
Hercules
3 : 0
Metapan
26 Apr
Platense Municipal
1 : 1
Hercules
23 Apr
Cacahuatique
1 : 2
Hercules
19 Apr
Hercules
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
15 Apr
Cacahuatique
1 : 2
Hercules
Page 1 of 6

Aguila

(Away)
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
10 Sept
Municipal Limeno
0 : 0
Aguila
06 Sept
Aguila
2 : 2
Alianza FC
30 Aug
Aguila
4 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 22 16 5 1 49:16 53
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 5 4 34:20 44
3 Alianza FC 22 11 4 7 36:30 37
4 Inter Santa Tecla 22 10 6 6 27:25 36
5 Municipal Limeno 22 10 5 7 33:21 35
6 Aguila 22 10 5 7 27:24 35
7 Metapan 22 6 9 7 23:30 27
8 Cacahuatique 22 6 8 8 24:28 26
9 Platense Municipal 22 4 8 10 24:31 20
10 Hercules 22 4 7 11 27:43 19
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 2 8 12 18:35 14
12 Zacatecoluca FC 22 3 4 15 23:42 13
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)