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Hercules vs Inter Santa Tecla

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Hernandez K.
52' Event
Espinoza D.
55'
Lopez B.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Hercules and Inter Santa Tecla finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hercules
6%
Draws
4%
Inter Santa Tecla
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Inter Santa Tecla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hercules's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hercules Clean Sheet 13%
Inter Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hercules Inter Santa Tecla
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Primera Division
Hercules vs Inter Santa Tecla
2:2
Feb 14, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Hercules
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 Primera Division
Hercules vs Inter Santa Tecla
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Hercules
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oliva J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Inter Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinoza D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivas Linares E. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercules 84 / 100
Inter Santa Tecla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hercules Inter Santa Tecla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hercules remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Hercules scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Inter Santa Tecla let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hercules VS Inter Santa Tecla
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hercules

(Home)
01 May
Hercules
3 : 0
Metapan
26 Apr
Platense Municipal
1 : 1
Hercules
23 Apr
Cacahuatique
1 : 2
Hercules
19 Apr
Hercules
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
15 Apr
Cacahuatique
1 : 2
Hercules
Page 1 of 6

Inter Santa Tecla

(Away)
25 Jul
Atletico Balboa
0 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
11 May
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
08 May
Municipal Limeno
2 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
01 May
Zacatecoluca FC
2 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FAS22165149:1653
2Luis Angel Firpo22135434:2044
3Alianza FC22114736:3037
4Inter Santa Tecla22106627:2536
5Municipal Limeno22105733:2135
6Aguila22105727:2435
7Metapan2269723:3027
8Cacahuatique2268824:2826
9Platense Municipal22481024:3120
10Hercules22471127:4319
11Fuerte San Francisco22281218:3514
12Zacatecoluca FC22341523:4213
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)