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Herd vs Aalesund 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Hjelle N. G.
56' Event
Leikanger T.
86'
Knutsen S. K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Herd and Aalesund 2 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalesund 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Herd
15%
Draws
51%
Aalesund 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aalesund 2 come out ahead of Herd on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Herd Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herd Aalesund 2
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.74 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.78 2.46
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Herd
3:0
May 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Herd vs Aalesund 2
0:2
Sep 30, 2019 Division 3 - Group 1
Herd vs Aalesund 2
0:3
Jun 8, 2019 Division 3 - Group 1
Aalesund 2 vs Herd
1:2
Oct 7, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Aalesund 2 vs Herd
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Aalesund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hjelle N. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leikanger T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herd 30 / 100
Aalesund 2 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herd Aalesund 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund 2 let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Herd scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Difficult form: Aalesund 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herd VS Aalesund 2
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Herd

(Home)
19 Sept
Byasen
6 : 1
Herd
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
30 Aug
Ntnui
2 : 1
Herd
15 Aug
Herd
9 : 0
Ranheim 2
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Aalesund 2

(Away)
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
07 Sept
Molde 2
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
17 Aug
FK Kvik
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
10 Aug
Aalesund 2
3 : 0
Herd
03 Aug
Strindheim
2 : 0
Aalesund 2
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