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Herd vs Elnesvagen

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 9 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 9 2012 game between Herd and Elnesvagen finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elnesvagen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Herd
20%
Draws
40%
Elnesvagen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Elnesvagen haven't matched Herd's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Herd's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Herd Clean Sheet 19%
Elnesvagen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herd Elnesvagen
Matches Played 39 32
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 2.18 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.51 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2013 Division 3 - Group 9
Elnesvagen vs Herd
3:4
May 18, 2013 Division 3 - Group 9
Herd vs Elnesvagen
1:1
Sep 29, 2012 Division 3 - Group 9
Herd vs Elnesvagen
1:4
Jun 8, 2012 Division 3 - Group 9
Elnesvagen vs Herd
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herd 85 / 100
Elnesvagen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herd Elnesvagen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Herd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elnesvagen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Herd's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Elnesvagen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herd VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Herd

(Home)
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
30 Aug
Ntnui
2 : 1
Herd
15 Aug
Herd
9 : 0
Ranheim 2
10 Aug
Aalesund 2
3 : 0
Herd
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Elnesvagen

(Away)
13 Apr
Elnesvagen
0 : 7
Molde
19 Oct
Spjelkavik
3 : 0
Elnesvagen
12 Oct
Elnesvagen
4 : 2
Stranda
05 Oct
Sunndal
3 : 2
Elnesvagen
28 Sept
Elnesvagen
1 : 1
Surnadal
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