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Herd vs Melhus

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Herd host Melhus in the Division 3 - Group 2. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Herd have averaged 1.67 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Melhus's 2.59 scored and 1.53 conceded. Head-to-head, Herd have won 0 to Melhus's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.13) point toward Melhus. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Herd
20%
Draws
57%
Melhus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Melhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Melhus come out ahead of Herd on wins alone.
  • Model gives Melhus a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Herd Clean Sheet 10%
Melhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herd Melhus
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 9 19
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.67 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Herd
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herd 22 / 100
Melhus 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herd Melhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melhus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herd's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Melhus conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Herd went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herd VS Melhus
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Herd

(Home)
15 Aug
Herd
9 : 0
Ranheim 2
10 Aug
Aalesund 2
3 : 0
Herd
31 Jul
Herd
0 : 1
Volda
25 Jul
Melhus
2 : 0
Herd
27 Jun
Herd
2 : 2
Ntnui
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Melhus

(Away)
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
08 Aug
Melhus
8 : 3
Orkla
03 Aug
FK Kvik
1 : 1
Melhus
25 Jul
Melhus
2 : 0
Herd
25 Jun
Strindheim
2 : 1
Melhus
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