Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Herd vs Melhus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Totland P.
64' Event
Hjelle M.
69' Event
Hosen A. W.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Herd and Melhus finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Herd
20%
Draws
44%
Melhus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Melhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Melhus come out ahead of Herd on wins alone.
  • Model gives Melhus a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Herd Clean Sheet 10%
Melhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herd Melhus
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.85 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Herd vs Melhus
1:4
Jul 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Herd
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herd Compare

Top Goalscorer Hjelle M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Melhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Totland P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hosen A. W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herd 10 / 100
Melhus 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herd Melhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melhus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melhus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Herd found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Herd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herd VS Melhus
2 Goals Scored 2.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Herd

(Home)
09 Oct
Herd
2 : 1
Spjelkavik
02 Oct
Molde 2
6 : 2
Herd
26 Sept
Herd
0 : 0
FK Kvik
19 Sept
Byasen
6 : 1
Herd
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
Page 1 of 6

Melhus

(Away)
02 Oct
Rosenborg 2
1 : 4
Melhus
26 Sept
Melhus
0 : 1
Spjelkavik
20 Sept
Molde 2
1 : 0
Melhus
12 Sept
Melhus
1 : 2
Volda
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
Page 1 of 6