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Herediano vs Cartagines

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Lopez D. In: Alfaro B.
Out: Lopez D.
35'
Faerron F.
37'
Marquez R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Division 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Herediano
15%
Draws
58%
Cartagines
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Cartagines average 1.76 goals a game right now, well clear of Herediano's 1.1.
  • Model gives Cartagines a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Herediano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Herediano Clean Sheet 10%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herediano Cartagines
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Herediano
1:0
May 10, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Cartagines
0:0
May 3, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Herediano
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Herediano
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Cartagines
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herediano 14 / 100
Cartagines 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herediano Cartagines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartagines Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herediano found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Cartagines let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Solid form: Herediano remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Herediano VS Cartagines
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Herediano

(Home)
13 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Herediano
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0
Herediano
27 Aug
Herediano
2 : 1
Antigua
23 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3
Sporting FC
Page 1 of 6

Cartagines

(Away)
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0
Herediano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Herediano 1
Cartagines 0
Saprissa 3
Liberia 1
Final
Herediano 3
Saprissa 2