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Herediano vs Cartagines

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Lopez D. In: Alfaro B.
Out: Lopez D.
35'
Faerron F.
37'
Marquez R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Division 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Herediano
40%
Draws
29%
Cartagines
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Herediano have won more games recently than Cartagines.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Herediano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Herediano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Herediano have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Herediano Clean Sheet 20%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herediano Cartagines
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Cartagines
0:0
May 3, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Herediano
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Herediano
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Cartagines
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs Cartagines
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herediano 32 / 100
Cartagines 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herediano Cartagines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herediano scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Cartagines let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Herediano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Herediano VS Cartagines
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Herediano

(Home)
24 Jul
Herediano
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
12 Jul
Alajuelense
0 : 1
Herediano
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
Page 1 of 6

Cartagines

(Away)
25 Jul
Cartagines
3 : 1
Inter San Carlos
10 May
Herediano
0 : 0
Cartagines
03 May
Cartagines
0 : 1
Herediano
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
22 Apr
Cartagines
2 : 1
San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Herediano1
Cartagines0
Saprissa3
Liberia1
Final
Herediano3
Saprissa2