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Stadium Background

Herediano vs Zeledon

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Araya D.
16'
Brown K.
21' Event
Rubio E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Herediano and Zeledon finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Herediano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Herediano
35%
Draws
46%
Zeledon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zeledon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Herediano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Herediano's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Herediano have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Herediano Clean Sheet 20%
Zeledon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herediano Zeledon
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 19 5
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Herediano
0:1
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Zeledon
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Herediano
1:3
Aug 17, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs Zeledon
2:1
Mar 27, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs Zeledon
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herediano Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fuller K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Zeledon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herediano 36 / 100
Zeledon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herediano Zeledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zeledon has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Herediano scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Herediano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herediano VS Zeledon
1.13 Goals Scored 0.4
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.2
38% Over 1.5 20%
25% Over 2.5 20%
0% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Herediano

(Home)
15 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 0
Herediano
10 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3
Alajuelense
06 Aug
Alianza FC
1 : 0
Herediano
03 Aug
Inter San Carlos
1 : 1
Herediano
31 Jul
Herediano
0 : 0
Marathon
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Zeledon

(Away)
16 Aug
Zeledon
0 : 1
Inter San Carlos
09 Aug
Escorpiones
0 : 0
Zeledon
04 Aug
Zeledon
1 : 0
Cartagines
25 Jul
Saprissa
5 : 1
Zeledon
25 Apr
San Carlos
1 : 1
Zeledon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 18 12 2 4 26:10 38
2 Saprissa 18 10 4 4 34:19 34
3 Liberia 18 10 3 5 24:18 33
4 Cartagines 18 10 2 6 26:20 32
5 Alajuelense 18 7 5 6 28:20 26
6 Sporting FC 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
7 San Carlos 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 Puntarenas FC 18 4 4 10 22:29 16
9 Zeledon 18 2 8 8 19:30 14
10 Guadalupe 18 3 5 10 13:37 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)