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Herediano vs Zeledon

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Araya D.
16'
Brown K.
21' Event
Rubio E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Herediano and Zeledon finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Herediano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Herediano
6%
Draws
4%
Zeledon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Herediano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Herediano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Herediano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Herediano have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Herediano Clean Sheet 20%
Zeledon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herediano Zeledon
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 4
Draws 4 11
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Herediano
0:1
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Zeledon
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Herediano
1:3
Aug 17, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs Zeledon
2:1
Mar 27, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs Zeledon
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herediano Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fuller K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Zeledon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herediano 85 / 100
Zeledon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herediano Zeledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Herediano scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Zeledon let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Herediano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herediano VS Zeledon
0.88 Goals Scored 0.71
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.14
25% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Herediano

(Home)
24 Jul
Herediano
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
12 Jul
Alajuelense
0 : 1
Herediano
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
Page 1 of 6

Zeledon

(Away)
25 Jul
Saprissa
5 : 1
Zeledon
25 Apr
San Carlos
1 : 1
Zeledon
23 Apr
Zeledon
0 : 1
Herediano
18 Apr
Guadalupe
1 : 0
Zeledon
12 Apr
Zeledon
3 : 3
Puntarenas FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)