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Hereford vs Hednesford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hereford host Hednesford in the National League North. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Hereford at 1.55 goals for, 1.3 against; Hednesford at 1.66 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Hereford slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 9, 2022, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.13, favoring Hednesford. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Hereford
15%
Draws
32%
Hednesford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hereford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hereford lately — more wins on the board than Hednesford.
  • Hereford are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hereford Clean Sheet 20%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hereford Hednesford
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Hednesford vs Hereford
1:0
Feb 10, 2001 National League
Hednesford vs Hereford
0:3
Sep 9, 2000 National League
Hereford vs Hednesford
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hereford 85 / 100
Hednesford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hereford Hednesford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hereford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hereford scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Hednesford has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hereford has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hereford VS Hednesford
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hereford

(Home)
26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1
Hereford
19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2
Hereford
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0
South Shields
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
Page 1 of 7

Hednesford

(Away)
26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1
Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
Coventry United
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1
Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3
Hednesford
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
South Shields
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)