Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hereford vs Mangotsfield

England England

FA Trophy 2014/2015 Edgar Street, Hereford
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Hereford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Hereford
15%
Draws
20%
Mangotsfield
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hereford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hereford come out ahead of Mangotsfield on wins alone.
  • Hereford are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Hereford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hereford, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hereford Clean Sheet 19%
Mangotsfield Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hereford Mangotsfield
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.48 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2014 FA Trophy
Hereford vs Mangotsfield
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hereford 85 / 100
Mangotsfield 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hereford Mangotsfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hereford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hereford found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Mangotsfield conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Hereford went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hereford VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hereford

(Home)
18 Aug
Hereford
3 : 0
Radcliffe
15 Aug
Hereford
1 : 0
Marine
08 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1
Hereford
01 Aug
Bromsgrove
0 : 1
Hereford
28 Jul
Hereford
1 : 1
Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 7

Mangotsfield

(Away)
30 Aug
Mangotsfield
0 : 1
Banbury
23 Jul
Mangotsfield
1 : 0
Frome Town
09 Oct
Willand Rovers
2 : 1
Mangotsfield
04 Sept
Frome Town
1 : 0
Mangotsfield
17 Oct
Mangotsfield
1 : 2
Cinderford Town
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Chasetown 5
Norton United 0
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Newcastle Town 2
Grantham Town -
TBD -
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Loughborough Dynamo 6
Spennymoor 3
Harrogate Railway 2
Lancaster 2
Bamber Bridge 6
Spalding United 6
Soham 1
Bedworth United 2
Leek Town 5
Rushall -
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Cambridge City -
Stafford 1
Rugby 0
St Ives Town 0
Stratford 1
Blyth Spartans -
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Farsley -
Matlock -
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Halesowen -
Neots -
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Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
Scarborough Athletic -
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Radcliffe 0
Darlington FC 2
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Kendal 1
Northwich Victoria 2
Stamford -
TBD -
TBD -
Barwell -
Witton Albion -
TBD -
Stocksbridge 3
Sheffield FC 4
Clitheroe 3
Droylsden 2
TBD -
Workington -
Market Drayton 5
Rainworth 2
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Stourbridge -
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Carlton Town -
Redditch -
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Corby -
Trafford -
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Brighouse Town 0
Ossett Town 1
Gresley 2
Tividale 0
Daventry 0
Romulus 2
Prescot Cables 2
Salford 1
Burscough 0
Goole 1
United of Manchester -
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Brigg Town 2
Padiham 4
Ashton United -
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Buxton -
Nantwich -
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Skelmersdale -
Whitby -
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Ramsbottom Utd -
Mickleover 4
Coalville Town 1
Lincoln Utd. 1
Kettering 2
Mossley AFC 2
Warrington Town 1
Ossett Albion 1
New Mills 2
Evesham -
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Banbury -
Frickley -
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Marine -
Hereford -
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Cinderford Town 2
AFC Totton 4
Bishops Cleeve -
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Clevedon 0
Mangotsfield 3
FC Witham Town -
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Potters 3
Royston Town 6
Egham Town 2
Bridgwater United 1
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Truro -
Dereham 2
Hanwell Town 1
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Enfield Town -
Tiverton 2
Wantage 0
Bashley 0
Sholing 1
Weymouth -
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Larkhall 2
Shortwood 4
Hitchin -
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Burnham FC -
Maidstone -
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Needham Market 1
Walton & Hersham 3
Sudbury 3
Whitstable Town 1
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Bognor Regis -
Metropolitan Police -
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Billericay -
Chalfont St Peter 2
AFC Hayes 1
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Barkingside -
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Kingstonian -
Ware 4
Great Wakering 0
Sittingbourne 2
Horsham FC 6
Peacehaven & Telscombe -
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East Grinstead Town 1
Walton Casuals 6
Three Bridges 4
Carshalton 1
Aylesbury United 2
Thamesmead 3
Lewes -
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Wroxham 2
Harlow 5
South Park 5
Cheshunt 1
Herne Bay 3
Heybridge 6
Leiston -
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Corinthian-Casuals 4
Leighton Town 6
Fleet Town 2
Swindon Supermarine 1
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Paulton Rovers -
Burgess Hill 1
Aveley 0
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Chesham -
Thurrock 4
Tilbury 3
Ramsgate 1
Folkestone 4
Slough Town -
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Margate -
Cirencester -
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Taunton Town 1
Merthyr Town 2
Brentwood 3
Redhill 2
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Biggleswade Town -
North Leigh 2
Yate 1
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Poole Town -
Uxbridge 4
Romford 3
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Hythe 3
Didcot 3
Marlow 1
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Bideford -
Bedford 4
Chipstead 3
Burnham Ramblers 1
Brightlingsea 5
Frome Town -
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Chippenham Town -
Whyteleafe 2
Redbridge 1
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Dunstable Town -
Leatherhead -
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Canvey Island -
Hornchurch -
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Harrow Borough -
Aylesbury Vale 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
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Merstham -
Histon -
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Belper Town -
Faversham 4
Beaconsfield Town 0
Hastings 0
Cray Wanderers 2
Hungerford -
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East Thurrock Utd -
Wingate & Finchley -
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Arlesey -
Hendon -
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Bury Town -
Chatham 1
North Greenford Utd. 0
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Worthing FC -
Tonbridge -
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VCD Athletic -
Hampton & Richmond -
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Grays -
Wimborne 3
Godalming Town 2
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Dorchester -
Guernsey FC 4
Barton 0
Waltham Abbey 1
Northwood 3
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Semi-finals
Chasetown 2
Newcastle Town 1
Grantham Town 1
Loughborough Dynamo 3
Spennymoor 3
Bamber Bridge 1
Spalding United 3
Leek Town 4
Rushall 2
Cambridge City 0
Stafford 0
Stratford 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Farsley 0
Matlock 1
Halesowen 5
Neots 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Scarborough Athletic 0
Darlington FC 4
Curzon Ashton 1
Northwich Victoria 0
Stamford 0
Barwell 1
Witton Albion 1
Sheffield FC 0
Clitheroe 0
Workington 2
Market Drayton 3
King’s Lynn 7
Stourbridge 5
Carlton Town 3
Redditch 1
Corby 0
Trafford 5
Ossett Town 2
Gresley 3
Romulus 1
Prescot Cables 2
Goole 4
United of Manchester 2
Padiham 0
Ashton United 0
Buxton 2
Nantwich 2
Skelmersdale 0
Whitby 1
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Mickleover 3
Kettering 2
Mossley AFC 2
New Mills 3
Evesham 2
Banbury 3
Frickley 0
Marine 2
Hereford 2
AFC Totton 1
Bishops Cleeve 1
Mangotsfield 5
FC Witham Town 2
Royston Town 1
Egham Town 0
Truro 3
Dereham 1
Enfield Town 0
Tiverton 0
Sholing 1
Weymouth 1
Shortwood 0
Hitchin 2
Burnham FC 4
Maidstone 3
Walton & Hersham 2
Sudbury 4
Bognor Regis 3
Metropolitan Police 1
Billericay 0
Chalfont St Peter 0
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Barkingside 3
Kingstonian 1
Ware 0
Horsham FC 1
Peacehaven & Telscombe 4
Walton Casuals 2
Three Bridges 1
Thamesmead 3
Lewes 1
Harlow 0
South Park 1
Heybridge 4
Leiston 7
Leighton Town 4
Fleet Town 0
Paulton Rovers 3
Burgess Hill 2
Chesham 0
Thurrock 2
Folkestone 3
Slough Town 2
Margate 0
Cirencester 0
Merthyr Town 2
Brentwood 3
Biggleswade Town 4
North Leigh 1
Poole Town 3
Uxbridge 6
Hythe 1
Didcot 5
Bideford 4
Bedford 4
Brightlingsea 0
Frome Town 1
Chippenham Town 3
Whyteleafe 3
Dunstable Town 1
Leatherhead 4
Canvey Island 3
Hornchurch 2
Harrow Borough 0
Aylesbury Vale 1
Merstham 2
Histon 3
Belper Town 2
Faversham 0
Cray Wanderers 3
Hungerford 3
East Thurrock Utd 5
Wingate & Finchley 1
Arlesey 2
Hendon 3
Bury Town 1
Chatham 1
Worthing FC 2
Tonbridge 2
VCD Athletic 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Grays 3
Wimborne 3
Dorchester 1
Guernsey FC 2
Northwood 3
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Final
Chasetown 4
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Spennymoor 4
Leek Town 3
Rushall 5
Stratford 0
Blyth Spartans 1
Halesowen 3
Neots 3
Darlington FC 1
Curzon Ashton 1
Barwell 2
Witton Albion 3
Workington 6
King’s Lynn 3
Stourbridge 1
Redditch 5
Trafford 2
Gresley 2
Goole 0
United of Manchester 2
Buxton 0
Nantwich 1
Ramsbottom Utd 3
Mickleover 3
New Mills 1
Banbury 3
Marine 2
Hereford 2
Mangotsfield 0
FC Witham Town 0
Truro 1
Dereham 0
Sholing 2
Weymouth 1
Burnham FC 0
Maidstone 0
Sudbury 2
Metropolitan Police 2
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Barkingside 1
Horsham FC 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 4
Thamesmead 3
Lewes 4
Heybridge 3
Leiston 3
Paulton Rovers 2
Burgess Hill 1
Folkestone 0
Slough Town 3
Merthyr Town 4
Biggleswade Town 1
Poole Town 2
Uxbridge 1
Didcot 2
Bedford 2
Chippenham Town 1
Whyteleafe 1
Leatherhead 4
Hornchurch 4
Merstham 2
Histon 0
Cray Wanderers 2
East Thurrock Utd 6
Arlesey 5
Hendon 4
Worthing FC 0
Tonbridge 2
Grays 0
Wimborne 2
Northwood 1
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