Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hereford vs Neots

England England

FA Trophy 2020/2021 Edgar Street, Hereford
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Grimes J.
25' Event
Finn K.
66' Event
John-Lewis L. N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Hereford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Hereford
15%
Draws
36%
Neots
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hereford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Neots haven't matched Hereford's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hereford a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Hereford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hereford, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Hereford Clean Sheet 68%
Neots Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hereford Neots
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.6 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 15, 2020 FA Trophy
Hereford vs Neots
3:0
Feb 20, 2018 Southern Premier League
Hereford vs Neots
1:0
Aug 26, 2017 Southern Premier League
Neots vs Hereford
1:3
Oct 25, 2014 Southern Premier League
Neots vs Hereford
0:0
Aug 9, 2014 Southern Premier League
Hereford vs Neots
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hereford Compare

Top Goalscorer Grimes J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Finn K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Neots Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hereford 95 / 100
Neots 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hereford Neots

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hereford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hereford found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Neots has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Hereford has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hereford VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hereford

(Home)
19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2
Hereford
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0
South Shields
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
31 Aug
Southport
0 : 1
Hereford
Page 1 of 6

Neots

(Away)
06 Sept
Sporting Club Inkberrow FC
1 : 0
Neots
19 Jul
Neots
1 : 0
Stamford
15 Jul
Neots
2 : 1
Hemel Hempstead
08 Jul
Neots
4 : 2
AFC Dunstable
03 Sept
Barking
3 : 2
Neots
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Welwyn Garden 3
Hednesford 1
Margate -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
Farsley -
Evesham 2
Bideford 1
TBD -
Boston United -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
TBD -
Royston Town 3
Tamworth 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Stamford 2
TBD -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Witton Albion 2
Bamber Bridge 0
Nantwich 3
Workington 1
Hereford -
TBD -
Neots 3
Kings Langley 1
Ashton United 2
South Shields 1
TBD -
York City -
Kettering -
TBD -
Marlow 1
Nuneaton 4
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
TBD -
Grantham Town 3
St Ives Town 4
St. Albans -
TBD -
Uxbridge 1
Cray Wanderers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthian-Casuals -
Walton Casuals -
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
Marske United 3
Warrington Town 1
Marine 1
Hyde 0
TBD -
Southport -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Aveley 1
Hastings 0
Weston-super-Mare 1
Chesham 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Salisbury 0
Bracknell Town 1
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Billericay -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
TBD -
TBD -
Bradford PA -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
Chorley -
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
Runcorn Linnets 2
Morpeth 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Notts County -
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
Concord Rangers -
TBD -
Moneyfields 1
Truro 5
Slough Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Haringey Borough 2
Stortford 1
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Bath City -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Swindon Supermarine 3
Dorchester 2
Carshalton 3
Barking 0
Hitchin 3
Mickleover 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Peterborough Sports 5
Basford Utd. 5
Rushall 0
Leatherhead 0
Felixstowe & Walton 1
Weymouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Darlington FC -
TBD -
Buxton 1
City Of Liverpool 2
Coleshill Town 5
Matlock 2
TBD -
Telford -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Enfield Town 2
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Thame United 2
Bognor Regis 5
Gloucester City -
TBD -
Needham Market 2
Leiston 1
Dulwich Hamlet -
TBD -
Lowestoft 0
Cheshunt 3
Tonbridge -
TBD -
Hornchurch 4
Wingate & Finchley 1
Alfreton -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town 0
Bedford 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Maidstone -
TBD -
Poole Town 3
Willand Rovers 1
North Leigh 0
Frome Town 1
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Hungerford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnet -
1/64-finals
Welwyn Garden 2
Burgess Hill 1
TBD -
Aldershot -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Gateshead 2
Farsley 3
Evesham 0
Boston United 3
Curzon Ashton 1
AFC Fylde 4
Chesterfield -
TBD -
Brackley 3
Royston Town 2
Stamford 1
Kidderminster 0
TBD -
TBD -
Witton Albion 2
Nantwich 5
Hereford 3
Neots 0
Ashton United 4
York City 3
Kettering 5
Nuneaton 1
Wrexham -
TBD -
Leamington 5
St Ives Town 0
St. Albans 3
Cray Wanderers 0
TBD -
Sutton -
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet 2
Chippenham Town 1
Bromley -
TBD -
Corinthian-Casuals 0
Hemel Hempstead 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Spennymoor 6
Marske United 2
Marine 0
Southport 1
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Aveley 1
Chesham 3
TBD -
Torquay -
Bracknell Town 2
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Billericay 1
Braintree 2
Altrincham -
TBD -
Chester 3
Bradford PA 1
Stockport County -
TBD -
Guiseley 2
Chorley 0
Blyth Spartans -
Morpeth -
TBD -
Notts County -
Welling 0
Oxford City 2
Concord Rangers 1
Truro 2
Slough Town 2
Dartford 3
Haringey Borough 3
Eastbourne Borough 1
Bath City 3
Chelmsford 2
Swindon Supermarine 1
Carshalton 0
Hitchin 0
Peterborough Sports 4
Basford Utd. 3
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Weymouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Darlington FC 2
City Of Liverpool 0
Coleshill Town 1
Telford 10
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Bognor Regis 1
Gloucester City 4
Needham Market 2
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Cheshunt 1
Tonbridge 0
Hornchurch 1
Alfreton -
Bedford -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Maidstone 2
Poole Town 0
Frome Town -
Hampton & Richmond -
Dorking Wanderers 2
Hungerford 0
TBD -
Barnet -
1/32-finals
Welwyn Garden 1
Aldershot 5
Solihull Moors 4
Farsley 0
Boston United 2
AFC Fylde 1
Chesterfield 1
Brackley 0
Stamford -
TBD -
Nantwich 0
Hereford 1
Ashton United 1
Kettering 2
Wrexham 0
Leamington 1
St. Albans 0
Sutton 2
Dagenham & Red. 5
Ebbsfleet 2
Bromley 2
Hemel Hempstead 0
Woking 2
Dover Ath. 1
Halifax 4
Hartlepool 3
Spennymoor 2
Southport 3
Boreham Wood 3
Yeovil 0
Chesham 0
Torquay 1
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Braintree 0
Altrincham 2
Chester 1
Stockport County 3
Guiseley 1
Morpeth 0
Notts County 3
Oxford City -
Truro -
Dartford 0
Haringey Borough 1
Bath City 4
Swindon Supermarine 0
Peterborough Sports 3
Basford Utd. 2
Weymouth 3
Maidenhead 2
Darlington FC 3
Telford 2
Wealdstone 4
Eastleigh 3
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Gloucester City 7
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hornchurch 2
Alfreton 1
King’s Lynn 3
Maidstone -
Frome Town -
Dorking Wanderers 3
Barnet 1
1/16-finals
Aldershot 3
Solihull Moors 2
Boston United 1
Chesterfield 2
Stamford 0
Hereford 2
Kettering 0
Leamington 3
Sutton 3
Dagenham & Red. 1
Bromley 1
Woking 2
Halifax 1
Southport 2
Boreham Wood 0
Torquay 4
Havant & Waterlooville -
Altrincham -
Stockport County 1
Notts County 2
Oxford City 4
Haringey Borough 2
Bath City 0
Peterborough Sports 1
Weymouth 0
Darlington FC 1
Wealdstone 3
Gloucester City 1
Hornchurch 2
King’s Lynn 1
Maidstone 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
1/8-finals
Aldershot -
Chesterfield -
Hereford 1
Leamington 0
Sutton 0
Woking 1
Southport 0
Torquay 2
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Notts County 3
Oxford City 2
Peterborough Sports 0
Darlington FC 4
Wealdstone 1
Hornchurch 5
Maidstone 4
Quarter-finals
Aldershot 1
Hereford 2
Woking 1
Torquay 0
Notts County 3
Oxford City 1
Darlington FC 1
Hornchurch 2
Semi-finals
Hereford 1
Woking 0
Notts County 3
Hornchurch 4
Final
Hereford 1
Hornchurch 3