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Hereford vs Peterborough Sports Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League North 2025/2026 Edgar Street, Hereford
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Skinner A.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Jarvis D.
43' Event
Booth M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hereford
20%
Draws
33%
Peterborough Sports
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hereford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hereford lately — more wins on the board than Peterborough Sports.
  • Hereford are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hereford Clean Sheet 16%
Peterborough Sports Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hereford Peterborough Sports
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National League North
Hereford vs Peterborough Sports
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 National League North
Peterborough Sports vs Hereford
0:2
Jan 28, 2025 National League North
Peterborough Sports vs Hereford
0:1
Aug 20, 2024 National League North
Hereford vs Peterborough Sports
1:1
Mar 5, 2024 National League North
Peterborough Sports vs Hereford
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hereford Compare

Top Goalscorer Lane M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Peterborough Sports Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarvis D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Booth M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hereford 84 / 100
Peterborough Sports 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hereford Peterborough Sports

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hereford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hereford's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Peterborough Sports has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Hereford has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hereford VS Peterborough Sports
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hereford

(Home)
26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1
Hereford
19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2
Hereford
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0
South Shields
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
Page 1 of 6

Peterborough Sports

(Away)
03 Oct
Leighton Town
2 : 4
Peterborough Sports
29 Sept
Peterborough Sports
2 : 2
Redditch
26 Sept
Peterborough Sports
1 : 3
Banbury
22 Sept
Leiston
0 : 2
Peterborough Sports
19 Sept
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
3 : 1
Peterborough Sports
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Fylde 46 32 4 10 112:51 100
2 South Shields 46 28 11 7 99:43 95
3 Kidderminster 46 25 12 9 74:51 87
4 Macclesfield 46 24 7 15 81:68 79
5 Buxton 46 22 7 17 83:61 73
6 Scarborough Athletic 46 19 16 11 61:52 73
7 Chester 46 20 13 13 66:64 73
8 Merthyr Town 46 22 4 20 95:86 70
9 Darlington FC 46 20 9 17 78:68 69
10 Spennymoor 46 19 11 16 62:69 68
11 Telford 46 17 14 15 85:65 65
12 Marine 46 18 8 20 62:72 62
13 Radcliffe 46 18 6 22 76:83 60
14 Southport 46 16 12 18 64:71 60
15 Chorley 46 15 12 19 66:65 57
16 Worksop 46 16 9 21 66:74 57
17 Oxford City 46 15 11 20 62:67 56
18 Bedford 46 13 14 19 66:77 53
19 King’s Lynn 46 12 16 18 56:64 52
20 Hereford 46 14 10 22 64:79 52
21 Curzon Ashton 46 13 13 20 67:88 52
22 Alfreton 46 12 14 20 49:82 50
23 Peterborough Sports 46 10 9 27 51:96 39
24 Leamington 46 7 8 31 41:90 29
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