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Hereford vs South Park - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy 2023/2024 Edgar Street, Hereford
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Rooney A.

AI Match Summary

Hereford in this FA Trophy 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Hereford
20%
Draws
7%
South Park
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hereford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hereford lately — more wins on the board than South Park.
  • Hereford are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Hereford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hereford, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Hereford Clean Sheet 68%
South Park Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hereford South Park
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.53 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2023 FA Trophy
Hereford vs South Park
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hereford Compare

Top Goalscorer Rooney A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

South Park Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hereford 95 / 100
South Park 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hereford South Park

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hereford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hereford scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

South Park let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Hereford remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: South Park registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hereford VS South Park
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hereford

(Home)
26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1
Hereford
19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2
Hereford
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0
South Shields
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
Page 1 of 6

South Park

(Away)
29 Aug
Bognor Regis
3 : 0
South Park
28 Jul
South Park
2 : 2
Kingstonian
06 Sept
South Park
1 : 2
Broadbridge Heath
01 Jul
South Park
1 : 2
Hassocks
14 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 0
South Park
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hereford -
TBD -
Haringey Borough 1
Redbridge 2
Bognor Regis 3
Gosport Borough 0
South Park 2
Leighton Town 1
Frome Town 1
Cribbs 0
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers 4
Chesham 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Poole Town 2
Bracknell Town 3
Larkhall 1
Horsham FC 2
AFC Totton 2
Merthyr Town 1
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters 0
Leiston 1
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge 5
Bamber Bridge 1
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Buxton -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 1
Stamford 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham 0
Cray Valley 2
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
North Ferriby FC 0
Matlock 3
Alfreton -
TBD -
Macclesfield 4
Halesowen 1
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Albans -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Bath City -
TBD -
Harrow Borough 1
Beaconsfield Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Walsall Wood 2
Guiseley 1
Alvechurch 0
Coalville Town 1
TBD -
Boston United -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slough Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine 0
Basingstoke 3
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Aveley -
TBD -
St Ives Town 3
Marine 1
Westfield 1
Hungerford 3
TBD -
Truro -
Banbury -
TBD -
Nuneaton 2
Hyde 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Stafford 5
Quorn 3
TBD -
Brackley -
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
South Shields -
Farsley -
TBD -
United of Manchester 2
Radcliffe 3
Redditch 3
Ashton United 0
TBD -
Rushall -
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
Oxford City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough 1
Avro 0
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay 5
Bury Town 0
TBD -
Tamworth -
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
Worksop 0
Mickleover 5
Hendon 2
Walton & Hersham 1
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Hythe 3
Ramsgate 1
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Kingstonian 0
Whitehawk 4
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Lewes 2
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Blyth Spartans -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Nantwich 1
Stratford 0
TBD -
Chester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
1/64-finals
Hereford 4
Redbridge 1
Bognor Regis 1
South Park 4
Frome Town 3
Worthing FC 2
Torquay 2
Yeovil 1
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Weston-super-Mare 4
Cray Wanderers 1
TBD -
Woking -
Bracknell Town 0
Horsham FC 3
AFC Totton 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Leiston 1
Peterborough Sports 4
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Stourbridge 2
King’s Lynn 1
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Buxton 1
City Of Liverpool 3
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Southend -
TBD -
Cray Valley 1
Hampton & Richmond 5
Curzon Ashton 2
Matlock 0
Alfreton 2
Macclesfield 4
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Stortford 3
St. Albans 1
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Bath City 1
Beaconsfield Town 0
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Hemel Hempstead 1
Walsall Wood 2
Coalville Town 2
Boston United 1
Bromley -
TBD -
Slough Town 2
Farnborough 1
Chippenham Town 2
Basingstoke 1
Gloucester City 3
Braintree 0
Aveley 2
St Ives Town 1
Hungerford 2
Truro 0
Banbury 2
Nuneaton 4
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Welling 3
Taunton Town 2
Stafford 0
Brackley 1
Chesterfield -
TBD -
Southport 4
South Shields 0
Farsley 2
Radcliffe 4
Redditch 2
Rushall 1
Barnet -
TBD -
Dartford 0
Maidstone 1
Oxford City -
TBD -
Harborough 0
Chelmsford 2
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Billericay 3
Tamworth 1
Oldham -
TBD -
Spennymoor 1
Mickleover 3
Hendon 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Dover Ath. 4
Weymouth 5
Hythe 1
Tonbridge 0
Whitehawk 3
Lewes 1
Chorley 1
Scarborough Athletic 0
Warrington Town 1
Blyth Spartans 3
Scunthorpe 2
Darlington FC 0
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Nantwich 1
Chester 0
TBD -
York City -
1/32-finals
Hereford 1
South Park 0
Frome Town 1
Torquay 4
Rochdale 1
Gateshead 5
Weston-super-Mare 3
Woking 2
Horsham FC 2
AFC Totton 0
Dagenham & Red. 1
Peterborough Sports 2
Kidderminster 4
Stourbridge 1
Halifax 0
Altrincham 1
City Of Liverpool 1
Hartlepool 5
Southend 2
Hampton & Richmond 3
Curzon Ashton 0
Macclesfield 2
Dorking Wanderers 3
Maidenhead 0
Ebbsfleet 1
Stortford 2
Eastleigh 2
Aldershot 3
Bath City 1
Boreham Wood 0
Walsall Wood 0
Coalville Town 2
Bromley 1
Slough Town 0
Chippenham Town 5
Gloucester City 3
Aveley 2
Hungerford 1
Nuneaton 2
AFC Fylde 3
Welling 2
Brackley 1
Chesterfield 6
Southport 1
Radcliffe 4
Redditch 0
Barnet 4
Maidstone 0
Oxford City 0
Chelmsford 1
Wealdstone 4
Billericay 1
Oldham 4
Mickleover 3
Hendon 2
Weymouth 0
Hythe 3
Whitehawk 2
Chorley 2
Blyth Spartans 0
Scunthorpe 0
Solihull Moors 2
Nantwich 3
York City 2
1/16-finals
Hereford 2
Torquay 0
Gateshead 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Horsham FC 0
Peterborough Sports 3
Kidderminster 1
Altrincham 0
Hartlepool 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Macclesfield 5
Dorking Wanderers 0
Stortford 6
Aldershot 1
Bath City 0
Coalville Town 1
Bromley 2
Chippenham Town 1
Aveley 1
AFC Fylde 0
Welling 2
Chesterfield 0
Radcliffe 1
Barnet 2
Chelmsford 0
Wealdstone 1
Oldham 1
Hendon 2
Hythe 1
Chorley 2
Solihull Moors 5
Nantwich 1
1/8-finals
Hereford 0
Gateshead 1
Peterborough Sports 1
Kidderminster 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Macclesfield 2
Stortford 0
Coalville Town 3
Bromley 2
Aveley 0
Welling 0
Barnet 3
Wealdstone 4
Hendon 0
Chorley 1
Solihull Moors 3
Quarter-finals
Gateshead 3
Peterborough Sports 2
Macclesfield 3
Coalville Town 0
Bromley 2
Barnet 0
Wealdstone 1
Solihull Moors 2
Semi-finals
Gateshead 2
Macclesfield 1
Bromley 1
Solihull Moors 2
Final
Gateshead 3
Solihull Moors 2