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Herlufsholm vs Horsholm-Usserod

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Herlufsholm play Horsholm-Usserod in the Landspokal Cup 2024/2025. Horsholm-Usserod are favorites here. Recently, Herlufsholm averaged 0.5 goals scored and 3.13 conceded. Horsholm-Usserod averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Herlufsholm won 0, Horsholm-Usserod won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 7, 2024 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Herlufsholm and 1.00 for Horsholm-Usserod. This points to a Horsholm-Usserod double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Herlufsholm
25%
Draws
60%
Horsholm-Usserod
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Horsholm-Usserod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Herlufsholm picked up more points recently compared to Horsholm-Usserod.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Herlufsholm Clean Sheet 23%
Horsholm-Usserod Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herlufsholm Horsholm-Usserod
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 1 8
Draws 0 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.13 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2024 Betano Pokalen
Herlufsholm vs Horsholm-Usserod
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herlufsholm Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Horsholm-Usserod Compare

Top Goalscorer Veggerby O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jessen N. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herlufsholm 18 / 100
Horsholm-Usserod 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herlufsholm Horsholm-Usserod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horsholm-Usserod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Horsholm-Usserod & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Herlufsholm attacking → ← attacking Horsholm-Usserod

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herlufsholm scored in 13% of their last 8 games.

Horsholm-Usserod let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Herlufsholm went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Horsholm-Usserod lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 30
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13