Sport Picks
Hernan Cortes vs Castuera
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 14 2013/2014 game between Hernan Cortes and Castuera finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hernan Cortes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Castuera carry the better recent record into this one.
- 28% — that's where the model lands on Castuera taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Hernan Cortes Clean Sheet 18%
Castuera Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hernan Cortes | Castuera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.57 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Castuera vs Hernan Cortes
1:0
Nov 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs Castuera
1:1
Mar 13, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs Castuera
1:1
Sep 29, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Castuera vs Hernan Cortes
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hernan Cortes 10 / 100
Castuera 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hernan Cortes Castuera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castuera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Castuera conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.
Hernan Cortes's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Away concern: Castuera has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Hernan Cortes VS Castuera
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Hernan Cortes
(Home) 20 Aug
Hernan Cortes
2 : 0 Cabeza del Buey
01 Nov
Hernan Cortes
1 : 12 Betis
12 Oct
Hernan Cortes
3 : 1 Sauzal
17 May
UP Plasencia
7 : 2 Hernan Cortes
10 May
Hernan Cortes
1 : 3 AD Merida
Page 1 of 6
20 Aug
Hernan Cortes
2 : 0 Cabeza del Buey
01 Nov
Hernan Cortes
1 : 12 Betis
12 Oct
Hernan Cortes
3 : 1 Sauzal
10 May
Hernan Cortes
1 : 3 AD Merida
26 Apr
Hernan Cortes
0 : 1 CP Valdivia
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Castuera
(Away) 13 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0 Castuera
05 Sept
Castuera
5 : 0 Gevora
31 Aug
Villanovense
3 : 0 Castuera
11 May
CD Badajoz
1 : 0 Castuera
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2 CF Trujillo
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13 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0 Castuera
31 Aug
Villanovense
3 : 0 Castuera
11 May
CD Badajoz
1 : 0 Castuera
27 Apr
Pueblonuevo
1 : 2 Castuera
11 Apr
CD Extremadura
2 : 0 Castuera
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villanovense | 40 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 77:17 | 100 |
| 2 | Merida UD | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 88:27 | 94 |
| 3 | Jerez CF | 40 | 29 | 7 | 4 | 77:21 | 94 |
| 4 | UD Badajoz | 40 | 29 | 7 | 4 | 84:17 | 94 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 40 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 81:35 | 87 |
| 6 | Extremadura UD | 40 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 78:36 | 74 |
| 7 | Don Benito | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 50:35 | 56 |
| 8 | Diter Zafra | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 68:60 | 53 |
| 9 | Pueblonuevo | 40 | 15 | 8 | 17 | 66:54 | 53 |
| 10 | CD Azuaga | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 68:78 | 52 |
| 11 | UP Plasencia | 40 | 16 | 4 | 20 | 66:63 | 52 |
| 12 | Atletico San Jose Promesas | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 48:49 | 52 |
| 13 | Olivenza FC | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 38:49 | 46 |
| 14 | Hernan Cortes | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 28:49 | 46 |
| 15 | Santa Amalia | 40 | 13 | 6 | 21 | 43:69 | 45 |
| 16 | Castuera | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:66 | 45 |
| 17 | Fuente de Cantos | 40 | 10 | 11 | 19 | 48:61 | 41 |
| 18 | Cacereno II | 40 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 32:81 | 31 |
| 19 | Miajadas | 40 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 42:110 | 24 |
| 20 | RCP Valverdeno | 40 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 48:103 | 20 |
| 21 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 40 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 27:128 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
