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Hernan Cortes vs Chinato

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hernan Cortes in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hernan Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hernan Cortes
15%
Draws
34%
Chinato
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hernan Cortes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Chinato have won more games recently than Hernan Cortes.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Chinato taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Hernan Cortes Clean Sheet 10%
Chinato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hernan Cortes Chinato
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.07 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Chinato vs Hernan Cortes
0:0
Jan 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs Chinato
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hernan Cortes 18 / 100
Chinato 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hernan Cortes Chinato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chinato Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hernan Cortes's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chinato conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Chinato registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Hernan Cortes VS Chinato
2 Goals Scored 1.13
4.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hernan Cortes

(Home)
20 Aug
Hernan Cortes
2 : 0
Cabeza del Buey
01 Nov
Hernan Cortes
1 : 12
Betis
12 Oct
Hernan Cortes
3 : 1
Sauzal
17 May
UP Plasencia
7 : 2
Hernan Cortes
10 May
Hernan Cortes
1 : 3
AD Merida
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Chinato

(Away)
20 Aug
Jaraiz
4 : 0
Chinato
30 May
AD Llerenense
5 : 2
Chinato
23 May
Chinato
4 : 1
Fuente de Cantos
16 May
Olivenza FC
1 : 0
Chinato
09 May
Chinato
0 : 0
RCP Valverdeno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arroyo 38 30 5 3 100:22 95
2 Diter Zafra 38 25 6 7 63:38 81
3 Extremadura UD 38 23 9 6 75:23 78
4 Don Benito 38 23 9 6 63:29 78
5 Jerez CF 38 20 9 9 56:34 69
6 Miajadas 38 15 11 12 52:52 56
7 UD Badajoz 38 14 11 13 53:49 53
8 Merida UD 38 14 11 13 42:43 53
9 CD Coria 38 13 11 14 49:55 50
10 UP Plasencia 38 12 9 17 41:62 45
11 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 10 15 13 45:46 45
12 Valdelacalzada 38 10 15 13 31:42 45
13 Santa Amalia 38 11 11 16 53:67 44
14 Hernan Cortes 38 10 12 16 28:39 42
15 Pueblonuevo 38 11 8 19 59:83 41
16 Moralo 38 10 10 18 32:43 40
17 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 10 9 19 60:67 39
18 Sanvicenteno 38 9 9 20 45:77 36
19 SP Villafranca 38 6 11 21 45:74 29
20 Chinato 38 3 11 24 27:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)