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Hernan Cortes vs Emerita Augusta

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Emerita Augusta in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Emerita Augusta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hernan Cortes
15%
Draws
42%
Emerita Augusta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hernan Cortes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Hernan Cortes have won more games recently than Emerita Augusta.
  • Win probability leans Emerita Augusta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hernan Cortes Clean Sheet 13%
Emerita Augusta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hernan Cortes Emerita Augusta
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 4
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.37 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs Emerita Augusta
1:3
Nov 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Emerita Augusta vs Hernan Cortes
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hernan Cortes 10 / 100
Emerita Augusta 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hernan Cortes Emerita Augusta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Emerita Augusta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Emerita Augusta has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Hernan Cortes's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Emerita Augusta lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hernan Cortes VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hernan Cortes

(Home)
20 Aug
Hernan Cortes
2 : 0
Cabeza del Buey
01 Nov
Hernan Cortes
1 : 12
Betis
12 Oct
Hernan Cortes
3 : 1
Sauzal
17 May
UP Plasencia
7 : 2
Hernan Cortes
10 May
Hernan Cortes
1 : 3
AD Merida
Page 1 of 8

Emerita Augusta

(Away)
19 May
Fuente de Cantos
2 : 0
Emerita Augusta
12 May
Emerita Augusta
5 : 4
Cacereno II
05 May
UP Plasencia
0 : 1
Emerita Augusta
28 Apr
Emerita Augusta
0 : 1
Merida UD
21 Apr
Don Benito
2 : 0
Emerita Augusta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Extremadura UD 38 27 8 3 75:14 89
2 UD Badajoz 38 24 8 6 67:24 80
3 Don Benito 38 23 10 5 55:23 79
4 Diter Zafra 38 22 11 5 57:23 77
5 Jerez CF 38 16 11 11 51:37 59
6 Merida UD 38 15 11 12 47:38 56
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 15 10 13 50:38 55
8 UP Plasencia 38 15 10 13 55:47 55
9 Santa Amalia 38 15 8 15 52:54 53
10 CD Coria 38 14 9 15 47:48 51
11 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 14 6 18 44:58 48
12 Pueblonuevo 38 11 10 17 41:60 43
13 Miajadas 38 12 7 19 40:56 43
14 RCP Valverdeno 38 11 9 18 40:56 42
15 Hernan Cortes 38 11 8 19 36:64 41
16 Cacereno II 38 10 10 18 48:57 40
17 Fuente de Cantos 38 10 9 19 42:68 39
18 Moralo 38 7 17 14 33:52 38
19 Emerita Augusta 38 8 7 23 44:77 31
20 Valdelacalzada 38 7 7 24 35:65 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)