Sport Picks
Hernan Cortes vs Pueblonuevo
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 14 2013/2014 game between Hernan Cortes and Pueblonuevo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hernan Cortes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hernan Cortes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Pueblonuevo carry the better recent record into this one.
- 20% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hernan Cortes Clean Sheet 19%
Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hernan Cortes | Pueblonuevo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.57 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs Hernan Cortes
2:2
Dec 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs Pueblonuevo
0:0
Feb 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs Pueblonuevo
1:0
Oct 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs Hernan Cortes
1:0
Mar 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs Hernan Cortes
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hernan Cortes 32 / 100
Pueblonuevo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hernan Cortes Pueblonuevo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pueblonuevo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hernan Cortes found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Pueblonuevo let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Pueblonuevo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
- VS Pueblonuevo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hernan Cortes
(Home) 20 Aug
Hernan Cortes
2 : 0 Cabeza del Buey
01 Nov
Hernan Cortes
1 : 12 Betis
12 Oct
Hernan Cortes
3 : 1 Sauzal
17 May
UP Plasencia
7 : 2 Hernan Cortes
10 May
Hernan Cortes
1 : 3 AD Merida
Page 1 of 6
20 Aug
Hernan Cortes
2 : 0 Cabeza del Buey
01 Nov
Hernan Cortes
1 : 12 Betis
12 Oct
Hernan Cortes
3 : 1 Sauzal
10 May
Hernan Cortes
1 : 3 AD Merida
26 Apr
Hernan Cortes
0 : 1 CP Valdivia
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Pueblonuevo
(Away) 27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1 Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1 Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2 Pueblonuevo
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5 CD Badajoz
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27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1 Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1 Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2 Pueblonuevo
03 May
Gevora
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villanovense | 40 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 77:17 | 100 |
| 2 | Merida UD | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 88:27 | 94 |
| 3 | Jerez CF | 40 | 29 | 7 | 4 | 77:21 | 94 |
| 4 | UD Badajoz | 40 | 29 | 7 | 4 | 84:17 | 94 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 40 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 81:35 | 87 |
| 6 | Extremadura UD | 40 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 78:36 | 74 |
| 7 | Don Benito | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 50:35 | 56 |
| 8 | Diter Zafra | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 68:60 | 53 |
| 9 | Pueblonuevo | 40 | 15 | 8 | 17 | 66:54 | 53 |
| 10 | CD Azuaga | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 68:78 | 52 |
| 11 | UP Plasencia | 40 | 16 | 4 | 20 | 66:63 | 52 |
| 12 | Atletico San Jose Promesas | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 48:49 | 52 |
| 13 | Olivenza FC | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 38:49 | 46 |
| 14 | Hernan Cortes | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 28:49 | 46 |
| 15 | Santa Amalia | 40 | 13 | 6 | 21 | 43:69 | 45 |
| 16 | Castuera | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:66 | 45 |
| 17 | Fuente de Cantos | 40 | 10 | 11 | 19 | 48:61 | 41 |
| 18 | Cacereno II | 40 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 32:81 | 31 |
| 19 | Miajadas | 40 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 42:110 | 24 |
| 20 | RCP Valverdeno | 40 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 48:103 | 20 |
| 21 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 40 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 27:128 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
