Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Herning KFUM vs Young Boys FD

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Herning KFUM play Young Boys FD in the Landspokal Cup 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Herning KFUM averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Young Boys FD averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Herning KFUM won 0, Young Boys FD won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 7, 2018 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Herning KFUM and 1.43 for Young Boys FD. This points to a Herning KFUM double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Herning KFUM
15%
Draws
39%
Young Boys FD
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Herning KFUM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Herning KFUM picked up more points recently compared to Young Boys FD.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Herning KFUM Clean Sheet 17%
Young Boys FD Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herning KFUM Young Boys FD
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.87 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.94

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2018 Landspokal Cup
Herning KFUM vs Young Boys FD
0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herning KFUM 45 / 100
Young Boys FD 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herning KFUM Young Boys FD

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Herning KFUM or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Herning KFUM attacking → ← attacking Young Boys FD

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herning KFUM scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Young Boys FD let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Herning KFUM went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Young Boys FD lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 31
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38