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Heroes de Zaci vs Celaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Heroes de Zaci Logo

Heroes de Zaci

3 - 2
FT
Celaya Logo

Celaya

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Varela J.
4' Event
Landa J.
59' Event
Madrid S. Q.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Heroes de Zaci and Celaya finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heroes de Zaci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Heroes de Zaci
20%
Draws
73%
Celaya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Celaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Celaya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Celaya a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Heroes de Zaci Clean Sheet 10%
Celaya Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heroes de Zaci Celaya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.21 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Heroes de Zaci vs Celaya
3:2
Oct 26, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Celaya vs Heroes de Zaci
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heroes de Zaci Compare

Top Goalscorer Landa J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Madrid S. Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Celaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heroes de Zaci 10 / 100
Celaya 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heroes de Zaci Celaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celaya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Heroes de Zaci found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Celaya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Heroes de Zaci has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Heroes de Zaci VS Celaya
0.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Heroes de Zaci

(Home)
01 Oct
Heroes de Zaci
0 : 1
Zapotlanejo
30 Sept
Correcaminos 2
3 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
26 Sept
Saltillo Soccer F.C.
3 : 2
Heroes de Zaci
19 Sept
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
15 Sept
Vaqueros
1 : 1
Heroes de Zaci
Page 1 of 6

Celaya

(Away)
06 Oct
Celaya
0 : 1
Jaguares De Chiapas
26 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 3
Celaya
20 Sept
Celaya
2 : 1
Montaneses
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Celaya
06 Sept
Celaya
2 : 0
Tapachula
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)