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Herrestads AIF vs Vanersborgs FK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Omicevic I.
90' Event
Johansson M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Herrestads AIF and Vanersborgs FK finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Herrestads AIF
15%
Draws
40%
Vanersborgs FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Herrestads AIF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Herrestads AIF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Herrestads AIF are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Herrestads AIF Clean Sheet 17%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herrestads AIF Vanersborgs FK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Herrestads AIF
2:4
May 22, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Herrestads AIF vs Vanersborgs FK
1:1
Aug 29, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Herrestads AIF
1:0
May 16, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Herrestads AIF vs Vanersborgs FK
3:0
Oct 4, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Herrestads AIF vs Vanersborgs FK
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herrestads AIF Compare

Top Goalscorer Omicevic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herrestads AIF 36 / 100
Vanersborgs FK 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herrestads AIF Vanersborgs FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herrestads AIF found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Vanersborgs FK has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Herrestads AIF remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Herrestads AIF VS Vanersborgs FK
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Herrestads AIF

(Home)
18 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 1
Kumla
13 Sept
Lidkoping
2 : 1
Herrestads AIF
05 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 2
Karlstad II
28 Aug
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Herrestads AIF
21 Aug
Herrestads AIF
3 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
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Vanersborgs FK

(Away)
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
29 Aug
Karlstad II
1 : 3
Vanersborgs FK
21 Aug
Vanersborgs FK
0 : 1
IFK Skovde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 22 18 3 1 51:17 57
2 Skara 22 15 5 2 47:22 50
3 IFK Skovde 22 12 5 5 38:25 41
4 Ahlafors 22 10 7 5 47:25 37
5 Grebbestad 22 11 3 8 39:32 36
6 Herrestads AIF 22 9 7 6 41:37 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 22 8 6 8 37:29 30
8 Vanersborgs FK 22 8 4 10 29:36 28
9 Lidkoping 22 6 6 10 28:41 24
10 Motala 22 5 8 9 29:32 23
11 Kumla 22 5 7 10 21:39 22
12 Tord 22 3 9 10 25:37 18
13 Karlstad II 22 2 7 13 23:43 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 22 2 3 17 23:63 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)